AI Agent Skills

When unsure which thinking skill fits, map domain and problem type, then return NONE or one primary skill by default (at most three complementary).

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When the right response mode is unclear, classify the cause-effect domain first; decompose disorder.

When a fault is localized and the proximate cause is known but the systemic root is not, chain evidence-linked whys with a counterfactual stop and a countermeasure.

Use when a selective defect needs IS/IS-NOT difference analysis or a consequential option choice needs must/want weighting and adverse-consequence comparison.

Use when longevity of a non-perishable option matters. Treat survival duration as a remaining-life prior, then check domain drift before favoring the proven.

When provisioning, setting a limit, or committing an estimate under uncertainty, size a buffer to residual error and the cost of breach—not to the optimistic edge.

When one mental model leaves a material blind spot on a multi-domain or high-stakes problem, sequence complementary models with named roles and a conflict rule.

Use under time pressure when the situation is still changing and you must act before certainty — cycle Observe→Orient→Decide→Act on ~70% confidence, then re-observe.

Before committing to a plan or launch, assume it already failed and reason backward through concrete causes — convert failure paths into mitigations, gates, and stop che…

Use when forecasting, estimating, or sizing risk — anchor on base rates, give ranges, update prior→likelihood→posterior on evidence, and factor unmeasured quantities int…

Before heavy deliberation, classify the decision as cheap or costly to undo; decide two-way doors fast and stage one-way doors to preserve options.

When a symptom has several plausible causes, rank falsifiable hypotheses and run the cheapest discriminating observation first; prefer least-assumptive survivors only af…

当用户需要做方向性判断、评估「该往哪走/这事靠谱吗」、或想提升决策能力时调用。 核心理念: 判断力(知道行为长期后果)比努力重要; 清晰思考=从基础学科重建推理; 收集心智模型(复利/委托代理/可证伪性/基础数学)。 不适用于: 需要立即执行的具体任务步骤。 Triggers: 判断力/方向/第一性原理/心智模型/思维模型/判断靠不靠谱…