Skill audit report

think-fermi-estimation Audit report.

Produces a Fermi decomposition worksheet that estimates an unknown numeric quantity by factoring it into a chain of order-of-magnitude sub-estimates, guessing each to within a band, then multiplying back to a point estimate plus a compounded low/high range, with an independence check and a dominant-uncertainty flag. Use when you need a number and no lookup-able data or genuine reference class exists, so the magnitude has to be built from factors (for example sizing a market, a load, a cost, or a conversion you cannot look up). Not for forecasting from real base rates (use reference-class-forecasting) or decomposing a question for coverage with no number (use issue-tree).