Registry indexed
Unified trade execution suite: Half-Kelly sizing, stop-loss calculation, Monte Carlo simulation, and portfolio rebalancing. Absorbs: kelly-mandate, stop-loss-calc, monte-carlo-sim, portfolio-rebalancer.
Unified trade execution suite: Half-Kelly sizing, stop-loss calculation, Monte Carlo simulation, and portfolio rebalancing. Absorbs: kelly-mandate, stop-loss-calc, monte-carlo-sim, portfolio-rebalancer.
Source documentation, not instructions for this website. Review permissions before running any commands.
Absorbs:
kelly-mandate,stop-loss-calc,monte-carlo-sim,portfolio-rebalancer
Unified quantitative execution skill for High Win-Rate trading systems (Protocol 367).
"zenith", "trade setup", "position size", "stop loss", "kelly criterion", "how much to risk", "invalidation point", "simulate", "monte carlo", "rebalance", "portfolio allocation"
Rule: A Stop Loss is a structural invalidation point, not an arbitrary budget allowance.
Simulates N independent trades through a given structure.
Inputs: Win Rate (%), Risk:Reward, Risk per trade (%), Number of trades (N), Starting capital.
import random
def monte_carlo(wr, rr, risk_pct, n_trades, starting_capital, n_paths=1000):
results = []
ruin_count = 0
max_drawdowns = []
for _ in range(n_paths):
equity = starting_capital
peak = equity
max_dd = 0
for _ in range(n_trades):
if random.random() < wr:
equity += equity * risk_pct * rr
else:
equity -= equity * risk_pct
peak = max(peak, equity)
dd = (peak - equity) / peak
max_dd = max(max_dd, dd)
if equity <= starting_capital * 0.2:
ruin_count += 1
break
results.append(equity)
max_drawdowns.append(max_dd)
results.sort()
return {
"median": results[len(results)//2],
"p5": results[int(len(results)*0.05)],
"p95": results[int(len(results)*0.95)],
"max_dd_median": sorted(max_drawdowns)[len(max_drawdowns)//2],
"ruin_probability": ruin_count / n_paths,
"double_probability": sum(1 for r in results if r >= starting_capital * 2) / n_paths,
}
Output:
Monte Carlo Simulation (1,000 paths × N trades)
─────────────────────────────────────────────
Structure: WR=60%, RR=1.0, Risk=1.1%/trade
Starting Capital: $10,000
Median Terminal Equity: $XX,XXX
5th Percentile: $X,XXX
95th Percentile: $XX,XXX
Max Drawdown (median): XX.X%
P(Ruin): X.X%
P(Double): XX.X%
─────────────────────────────────────────────
Verdict: [PASS/FAIL] — structure is [robust/fragile]
name: zenith-execution description: "Unified trade execution suite: Half-Kelly sizing, stop-loss calculation, Monte Carlo simulation, and portfolio rebalancing. Absorbs: kelly-mandate, stop-loss-calc, monte-carlo-sim, portfolio-rebalancer." argument-hint: "setup | sizing | simulate | rebalance | optimize <ticker>" allowed-tools: - Read - Bash - WebFetch auto-invoke: true model: default context_trigger: "position sizing, Kelly, stop loss, Monte Carlo, simulate, rebalance, trade execution, portfolio optimization"
---
name: zenith-execution
description: "Unified trade execution suite: Half-Kelly sizing, stop-loss calculation, Monte Carlo simulation, and portfolio rebalancing. Absorbs: kelly-mandate, stop-loss-calc, monte-carlo-sim, portfolio-rebalancer."
argument-hint: "setup | sizing | simulate | rebalance | optimize <ticker>"
allowed-tools:
- Read
- Bash
- WebFetch
auto-invoke: true
model: default
context_trigger: "position sizing, Kelly, stop loss, Monte Carlo, simulate, rebalance, trade execution, portfolio optimization"
---
# ZenithFX Execution Suite (Expanded)
> **Absorbs**: `kelly-mandate`, `stop-loss-calc`, `monte-carlo-sim`, `portfolio-rebalancer`
Unified quantitative execution skill for High Win-Rate trading systems (Protocol 367).
## Triggers
"zenith", "trade setup", "position size", "stop loss", "kelly criterion", "how much to risk", "invalidation point", "simulate", "monte carlo", "rebalance", "portfolio allocation"
## Sub-Commands
### 1. Position Sizing (Half-Kelly)
1. Demands Win Rate, Reward:Risk, and Total Capital.
2. Computes Full Kelly (theoretical optimum).
3. Halves it (Half-Kelly) for psychological variance and execution error.
4. Hard caps at 10% regardless of edge.
### 2. Stop-Loss (Structural Invalidation)
1. Identifies the price where the trade premise is demonstrably false.
2. Calculates distance between Entry and Invalidation.
3. Fits pre-determined Capital Risk % into that distance → Position Size.
**Rule**: A Stop Loss is a *structural invalidation point*, not an arbitrary budget allowance.
### 3. Monte Carlo Simulation
Simulates N independent trades through a given structure.
**Inputs**: Win Rate (%), Risk:Reward, Risk per trade (%), Number of trades (N), Starting capital.
```python
import random
def monte_carlo(wr, rr, risk_pct, n_trades, starting_capital, n_paths=1000):
results = []
ruin_count = 0
max_drawdowns = []
for _ in range(n_paths):
equity = starting_capital
peak = equity
max_dd = 0
for _ in range(n_trades):
if random.random() < wr:
equity += equity * risk_pct * rr
else:
equity -= equity * risk_pct
peak = max(peak, equity)
dd = (peak - equity) / peak
max_dd = max(max_dd, dd)
if equity <= starting_capital * 0.2:
ruin_count += 1
break
results.append(equity)
max_drawdowns.append(max_dd)
results.sort()
return {
"median": results[len(results)//2],
"p5": results[int(len(results)*0.05)],
"p95": results[int(len(results)*0.95)],
"max_dd_median": sorted(max_drawdowns)[len(max_drawdowns)//2],
"ruin_probability": ruin_count / n_paths,
"double_probability": sum(1 for r in results if r >= starting_capital * 2) / n_paths,
}
```
**Output**:
```
Monte Carlo Simulation (1,000 paths × N trades)
─────────────────────────────────────────────
Structure: WR=60%, RR=1.0, Risk=1.1%/trade
Starting Capital: $10,000
Median Terminal Equity: $XX,XXX
5th Percentile: $X,XXX
95th Percentile: $XX,XXX
Max Drawdown (median): XX.X%
P(Ruin): X.X%
P(Double): XX.X%
─────────────────────────────────────────────
Verdict: [PASS/FAIL] — structure is [robust/fragile]
```
### 4. Portfolio Rebalance
1. Evaluates current allocation weights vs initial target weights.
2. Identifies momentum drift.
3. Outputs specific buy/sell orders to restore Kelly/Structural parity.
## Reference Protocols
- Protocol 367: High Win-Rate Supremacy
- Protocol 368: Five Levers
- Protocol 46: Trading Methodology
Free to get does not mean free to run. Price labels are not safety ratings. Submit pricing information →
Skill source recorded
Skill instructions are recorded. This is not a runtime test, safety guarantee or compatibility certification.
Review before install: Avoid automatic install
License: MIT
Listed tools are metadata hints, not tested compatibility. Agent prompts are suggested handoffs.
Check the source for dependencies, API keys and third-party costs. A public repository does not mean every service is free.
Repository metadata and review signals are advisory. Popularity, source discovery and successful execution are different facts.
Version reported in registry metadata; check source releases before relying on it.
Quality
69/100
Promising
Trust
70/100
Sandbox only
Audit
80/100
Risky
Copies are not installs. Installation counts require a reported successful installation; they are not a blanket quality guarantee.
This page exposes the same decision, trust, audit, use-case, and install signals through the Registry API, so agents can rank this skill without scraping the UI.
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