winstonkoh87
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bionic-decision-engine
Unified mathematical arbitrator for all resource allocation decisions — money, time, energy, relationships. Absorbs 46 decision protocols + 24 strategy protocols into one dense engine.
Overview
Unified mathematical arbitrator for all resource allocation decisions — money, time, energy, relationships. Absorbs 46 decision protocols + 24 strategy protocols into one dense engine.
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Bionic Decision Engine — The Universal Arbitrator
Compiled: 2026-05-11 (retroactive synthesis of 70+ protocols) Problem Class: Any "Should I?" question across all life domains — career, trades, purchases, relationships, time allocation. Axiom: "If you can't put a number on it, you can't decide on it. And if you decide on feelings, the wound decides for you (MP-8)."
When to Use
Invoke whenever the user faces a resource allocation decision. This includes:
- "Should I take this job/trade/client/deal?"
- "Is this worth the money/time/energy?"
- "Which option is better?"
- "Should I stay or leave?"
- Pricing questions (what to charge, what to pay)
- Any comparison of two or more alternatives
Solution Architecture
Gate 0: The Sunk Cost Purge (MP-14)
Before ANY analysis:
"Would I enter this position TODAY if I weren't already in it?"
If NO → the decision is already made. Skip to Exit Protocol. If YES → proceed to Gate 1.
Gate 1: Ruin Class Check (Law #1)
Does any option carry >5% probability of irreversible ruin across 5 domains?
| Domain | Ruin Threshold |
|---|---|
| Biological | Death, permanent disability |
| Legal | Incarceration, criminal record |
| Financial | Bankruptcy, total capital loss |
| Social | De-platforming, exile |
| Psychological | Burnout Stage 4, loss of agency |
VETO if P(Ruin) > 5%. No calculation needed. No exceptions.
Gate 2: The EEV Calculator (DEC-330 / DEC-526)
For each option, calculate Expected Economic Value:
EEV = P(success) × V(upside) − P(failure) × V(downside) − Friction Costs
Where:
P(success) = base rate for demographic × personal edge multiplier
V(upside) = monetary + optionality + compounding value
V(downside) = monetary loss + opportunity cost + psychological toll
Friction = time, energy, commute, complexity tax
Anti-Rationalization Rule (DEC-526): E(U) anchors MUST be activities you have actually paid for in the last 90 days. No hypotheticals.
Gate 3: The Horizon Split (DEC-129)
| Horizon | Timeframe | Optimize For |
|---|---|---|
| Tactical | 0–90 days | Cash flow, immediate survival |
| Operational | 90 days–1 year | Positioning, skill building |
| Strategic | 1–5 years | Asset building, compounding |
Rule: Never sacrifice Strategic for Tactical unless in survival mode. Every 90 days is "End of Year" crunch time.
Gate 4: The Arena Diagnostic (MP-1 + MP-9)
YOU OWN THE ARENA YOU RENT THE ARENA
YOU SET PRICE: Sovereign Fragile
THEY SET PRICE: Regulated Subordinate
Fulcrum Check (MP-9): Are you pushing harder or repositioning the lever?
| Lever Type | Examples | Multiplier |
|---|---|---|
| Substrate | AI ($200/mo) vs team ($15K/mo) | 10–100× |
| Arena | Owned vs rented platform | 2–10× |
| Pricing | Outcome vs hourly | 3–5× |
| Distribution | Owned vs paid channel | 5–50× |
Gate 5: The Form-Substance Strip (MP-5)
"Strip the label. Describe only the mechanism. Does the mechanism match the label?"
| Common Form | Actual Substance |
|---|---|
| "Running my own business" | Self-employed, paying rent to arena owner |
| "Partner investing $300K" | Extraction vehicle for personal network |
| "Be your own boss" | Be your own employee |
| "Passionate connection" | Trauma-familiar pattern (MP-8) |
| "Optimal trade" | Hindsight artifact |
Gate 6: Compounding Test (MP-6)
"If I stop working for 6 months, does income continue?"
- No → Level 0–2. Linear. You ARE the asset.
- Yes → Level 3. Compounding. You OWN the asset.
Track Hours Invested ÷ Revenue Generated monthly. If the ratio is not decreasing, you are trapped.
Output Template
DECISION ENGINE REPORT
──────────────────────
Question: [What is being decided]
Gate 0 (Sunk): [PURGED / CLEAN — would you re-enter today?]
Gate 1 (Ruin): [✅ PASS / ❌ VETO — domain: ...]
Gate 2 (EEV): [Option A: $X | Option B: $Y | Delta: $Z]
Gate 3 (Horizon): [Tactical / Operational / Strategic alignment]
Gate 4 (Arena): [Sovereign / Fragile / Regulated / Subordinate]
Gate 5 (Form): [Label matches substance? Y/N — actual mechanism: ...]
Gate 6 (Compound): [Linear / Compounding — I/O ratio trend: ↑/↓/→]
VERDICT: [PROCEED / PIVOT / EXIT]
CONFIDENCE: [X%]
Absorbed Protocol Index
Decision Protocols (46)
DEC-046 (Kelly Mandate), DEC-050 (Risk Pareto), DEC-101 (Inverse Sizing), DEC-109 (Dalio Principles), DEC-123 (Einstein Protocol), DEC-128 (Sovereign Paths), DEC-129 (Horizon Split), DEC-131 (Bimodal Arena), DEC-135 (Information Asymmetry Immunity), DEC-136 (House Benchmark), DEC-137 (Graph of Thoughts), DEC-138 (Kobayashi Maru), DEC-140 (Base Rate Audit), DEC-144 (Trilateral Validation), DEC-147 (Zero-Point Inversion), DEC-330 (Economic EV), DEC-526 (Expected Aggregate Value), and 29 more.
Strategy Protocols (24)
STR-106 (Min-Max Optimization), STR-121 (Amoral Realism), STR-162 (PMOD), STR-244 (Offensive Reframing), STR-303 (Ecosystem Physics), STR-309 (Validation vs Authority), STR-310 (Paint Drop), STR-311 (Priority Management), STR-314 (Digital Consulting), STR-316 (Bionic Arbitrage Niches), STR-317 (Niche Scanner), STR-318 (Consumer Optimization), STR-319 (Brand Foundations), STR-320 (95-5 Arbitrage Rule), and 10 more.
Economics (1)
ECO-033 (Principal-Agent Problem)
Failure Modes & Mitigations
| Failure | Mitigation |
|---|---|
| Analysis Paralysis | If EEV delta < 10%, flip a coin. The cost of delay > the cost of a slightly suboptimal choice. |
| Sunk Cost Override | Gate 0 MUST fire first. If you wouldn't re-enter today, EXIT. |
| Wound-Selects-For-Itself (MP-8) | If the option feels "familiar" and "comfortable," run the IFS check before proceeding. |
| Information-Action Gap (MP-10) | You already KNOW the answer. The question is what structural barrier prevents action. |
| Hope Override (CS-012) | "Hope > Data" is the most common failure. If data says no, no amount of hope changes the math. |
Validated Patterns (Empirical)
- [V] 90-Day Physical Payment Anchor: Only anchor EEV comparisons to things you've actually paid for in the last 90 days. Hypothetical anchors corrupt the calculation. | Reapply: Every pricing/value decision.
- [V] The Walk: Threatening withdrawal (P120) is the highest-leverage move in any negotiation. | Reapply: Any pricing pushback.
- [V] Base Rate Audit: If claimed outcome >> expected outcome for demographics, hidden variable EXISTS (DEC-140). | Reapply: Every "too good to be true" evaluation.
- [V] Min-Max Optimization: In purchases, buy the cheapest acceptable OR the best available. Never the middle. | Reapply: Every consumer purchase.
References
- META_PATTERNS.md — The 14 universal laws
- trading-risk-gate — Capital-specific ruin gate (delegates to this engine for non-trading decisions)
- red-team-review — Adversarial review of decision quality
File metadata
name: bionic-decision-engine description: "Unified mathematical arbitrator for all resource allocation decisions — money, time, energy, relationships. Absorbs 46 decision protocols + 24 strategy protocols into one dense engine." vibe: "Every 'Should I?' gets a number, not a feeling." context_trigger: "should I, is it worth it, opportunity cost, pricing, decision, compare, which one, tradeoff, invest, allocate, evaluate, choose, horizon, arena" auto-invoke: true model: default source: "Retroactively compiled from 1,900+ sessions (2025-2026) via skill-compiler" compiled_from: "protocols/decision/DEC-*, protocols/strategy/STR-*, protocols/economics/ECO-*" absorbs: "decision-journal (partial), power-inversion (partial)" meta_patterns: [MP-2, MP-5, MP-9, MP-10, MP-14] pinned: true
View original text
---
name: bionic-decision-engine
description: "Unified mathematical arbitrator for all resource allocation decisions — money, time, energy, relationships. Absorbs 46 decision protocols + 24 strategy protocols into one dense engine."
vibe: "Every 'Should I?' gets a number, not a feeling."
context_trigger: "should I, is it worth it, opportunity cost, pricing, decision, compare, which one, tradeoff, invest, allocate, evaluate, choose, horizon, arena"
auto-invoke: true
model: default
source: "Retroactively compiled from 1,900+ sessions (2025-2026) via skill-compiler"
compiled_from: "protocols/decision/DEC-*, protocols/strategy/STR-*, protocols/economics/ECO-*"
absorbs: "decision-journal (partial), power-inversion (partial)"
meta_patterns: [MP-2, MP-5, MP-9, MP-10, MP-14]
pinned: true
---
# Bionic Decision Engine — The Universal Arbitrator
> **Compiled**: 2026-05-11 (retroactive synthesis of 70+ protocols)
> **Problem Class**: Any "Should I?" question across all life domains — career, trades, purchases, relationships, time allocation.
> **Axiom**: *"If you can't put a number on it, you can't decide on it. And if you decide on feelings, the wound decides for you (MP-8)."*
## When to Use
Invoke whenever the user faces a resource allocation decision. This includes:
- "Should I take this job/trade/client/deal?"
- "Is this worth the money/time/energy?"
- "Which option is better?"
- "Should I stay or leave?"
- Pricing questions (what to charge, what to pay)
- Any comparison of two or more alternatives
## Solution Architecture
### Gate 0: The Sunk Cost Purge (MP-14)
Before ANY analysis:
> *"Would I enter this position TODAY if I weren't already in it?"*
If NO → the decision is already made. Skip to Exit Protocol.
If YES → proceed to Gate 1.
### Gate 1: Ruin Class Check (Law #1)
Does any option carry >5% probability of irreversible ruin across 5 domains?
| Domain | Ruin Threshold |
|--------|---------------|
| Biological | Death, permanent disability |
| Legal | Incarceration, criminal record |
| Financial | Bankruptcy, total capital loss |
| Social | De-platforming, exile |
| Psychological | Burnout Stage 4, loss of agency |
**VETO** if P(Ruin) > 5%. No calculation needed. No exceptions.
### Gate 2: The EEV Calculator (DEC-330 / DEC-526)
For each option, calculate Expected Economic Value:
```
EEV = P(success) × V(upside) − P(failure) × V(downside) − Friction Costs
Where:
P(success) = base rate for demographic × personal edge multiplier
V(upside) = monetary + optionality + compounding value
V(downside) = monetary loss + opportunity cost + psychological toll
Friction = time, energy, commute, complexity tax
```
**Anti-Rationalization Rule** (DEC-526): E(U) anchors MUST be activities you have **actually paid for** in the last 90 days. No hypotheticals.
### Gate 3: The Horizon Split (DEC-129)
| Horizon | Timeframe | Optimize For |
|---------|-----------|-------------|
| Tactical | 0–90 days | Cash flow, immediate survival |
| Operational | 90 days–1 year | Positioning, skill building |
| Strategic | 1–5 years | Asset building, compounding |
**Rule**: Never sacrifice Strategic for Tactical unless in survival mode. Every 90 days is "End of Year" crunch time.
### Gate 4: The Arena Diagnostic (MP-1 + MP-9)
```
YOU OWN THE ARENA YOU RENT THE ARENA
YOU SET PRICE: Sovereign Fragile
THEY SET PRICE: Regulated Subordinate
```
**Fulcrum Check** (MP-9): Are you pushing harder or repositioning the lever?
| Lever Type | Examples | Multiplier |
|:-----------|:---------|:-----------|
| Substrate | AI ($200/mo) vs team ($15K/mo) | 10–100× |
| Arena | Owned vs rented platform | 2–10× |
| Pricing | Outcome vs hourly | 3–5× |
| Distribution | Owned vs paid channel | 5–50× |
### Gate 5: The Form-Substance Strip (MP-5)
> *"Strip the label. Describe only the mechanism. Does the mechanism match the label?"*
| Common Form | Actual Substance |
|:------------|:----------------|
| "Running my own business" | Self-employed, paying rent to arena owner |
| "Partner investing $300K" | Extraction vehicle for personal network |
| "Be your own boss" | Be your own employee |
| "Passionate connection" | Trauma-familiar pattern (MP-8) |
| "Optimal trade" | Hindsight artifact |
### Gate 6: Compounding Test (MP-6)
> *"If I stop working for 6 months, does income continue?"*
- **No** → Level 0–2. Linear. You ARE the asset.
- **Yes** → Level 3. Compounding. You OWN the asset.
Track `Hours Invested ÷ Revenue Generated` monthly. If the ratio is not decreasing, you are trapped.
## Output Template
```
DECISION ENGINE REPORT
──────────────────────
Question: [What is being decided]
Gate 0 (Sunk): [PURGED / CLEAN — would you re-enter today?]
Gate 1 (Ruin): [✅ PASS / ❌ VETO — domain: ...]
Gate 2 (EEV): [Option A: $X | Option B: $Y | Delta: $Z]
Gate 3 (Horizon): [Tactical / Operational / Strategic alignment]
Gate 4 (Arena): [Sovereign / Fragile / Regulated / Subordinate]
Gate 5 (Form): [Label matches substance? Y/N — actual mechanism: ...]
Gate 6 (Compound): [Linear / Compounding — I/O ratio trend: ↑/↓/→]
VERDICT: [PROCEED / PIVOT / EXIT]
CONFIDENCE: [X%]
```
## Absorbed Protocol Index
### Decision Protocols (46)
DEC-046 (Kelly Mandate), DEC-050 (Risk Pareto), DEC-101 (Inverse Sizing), DEC-109 (Dalio Principles), DEC-123 (Einstein Protocol), DEC-128 (Sovereign Paths), DEC-129 (Horizon Split), DEC-131 (Bimodal Arena), DEC-135 (Information Asymmetry Immunity), DEC-136 (House Benchmark), DEC-137 (Graph of Thoughts), DEC-138 (Kobayashi Maru), DEC-140 (Base Rate Audit), DEC-144 (Trilateral Validation), DEC-147 (Zero-Point Inversion), DEC-330 (Economic EV), DEC-526 (Expected Aggregate Value), and 29 more.
### Strategy Protocols (24)
STR-106 (Min-Max Optimization), STR-121 (Amoral Realism), STR-162 (PMOD), STR-244 (Offensive Reframing), STR-303 (Ecosystem Physics), STR-309 (Validation vs Authority), STR-310 (Paint Drop), STR-311 (Priority Management), STR-314 (Digital Consulting), STR-316 (Bionic Arbitrage Niches), STR-317 (Niche Scanner), STR-318 (Consumer Optimization), STR-319 (Brand Foundations), STR-320 (95-5 Arbitrage Rule), and 10 more.
### Economics (1)
ECO-033 (Principal-Agent Problem)
## Failure Modes & Mitigations
| Failure | Mitigation |
|---------|------------|
| **Analysis Paralysis** | If EEV delta < 10%, flip a coin. The cost of delay > the cost of a slightly suboptimal choice. |
| **Sunk Cost Override** | Gate 0 MUST fire first. If you wouldn't re-enter today, EXIT. |
| **Wound-Selects-For-Itself** (MP-8) | If the option feels "familiar" and "comfortable," run the IFS check before proceeding. |
| **Information-Action Gap** (MP-10) | You already KNOW the answer. The question is what structural barrier prevents action. |
| **Hope Override** (CS-012) | "Hope > Data" is the most common failure. If data says no, no amount of hope changes the math. |
## Validated Patterns (Empirical)
- [V] **90-Day Physical Payment Anchor**: Only anchor EEV comparisons to things you've actually paid for in the last 90 days. Hypothetical anchors corrupt the calculation. | Reapply: Every pricing/value decision.
- [V] **The Walk**: Threatening withdrawal (P120) is the highest-leverage move in any negotiation. | Reapply: Any pricing pushback.
- [V] **Base Rate Audit**: If claimed outcome >> expected outcome for demographics, hidden variable EXISTS (DEC-140). | Reapply: Every "too good to be true" evaluation.
- [V] **Min-Max Optimization**: In purchases, buy the cheapest acceptable OR the best available. Never the middle. | Reapply: Every consumer purchase.
## References
- META_PATTERNS.md — The 14 universal laws
- [trading-risk-gate](../../therapeutic-ifs/SKILL.md) — Capital-specific ruin gate (delegates to this engine for non-trading decisions)
- [red-team-review](../../therapeutic-ifs/SKILL.md) — Adversarial review of decision quality
Review the source
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- MIT
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Skill instructions are recorded. This is not a runtime test, safety guarantee or compatibility certification.
Review before install: Avoid automatic install
License: MIT
- Financial research output is not financial advice; require human review before any live investment decision
- Potential broker, wallet, exchange, or real-money execution surface; sandbox and explicit approval are required
- AI review approval is missing
- Financial research output is not financial advice; require human review before any live investment decision.
- This skill may touch real-money trading, broker, wallet, or exchange operations; use only in a sandbox with explicit approval.
- Quality score needs review
- Review status: AI review approval is missing
Listed tools are metadata hints, not tested compatibility. Agent prompts are suggested handoffs.
Start with one small task
- 1Read the source. Confirm the input, expected output, dependencies and permissions.
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Check the source for dependencies, API keys and third-party costs. A public repository does not mean every service is free.
Source & usage notes
IndexedStatic Checked
Repository metadata and review signals are advisory. Popularity, source discovery and successful execution are different facts.
- Source repository
- winstonkoh87/Athena-Public
- License
- MIT
- Version
- Unknown
- Last GitHub push
- Sep 30, 2026
- Registry updated
- Oct 1, 2026
Version reported in registry metadata; check source releases before relying on it.
Quality
69/100
Promising
Trust
74/100
Sandbox only
Audit
82/100
Risky
- Financial research output is not financial advice; require human review before any live investment decision
- Potential broker, wallet, exchange, or real-money execution surface; sandbox and explicit approval are required
- AI review approval is missing
- Financial research output is not financial advice; require human review before any live investment decision.
- This skill may touch real-money trading, broker, wallet, or exchange operations; use only in a sandbox with explicit approval.
- Quality score needs review
- Review status: AI review approval is missing
- Verified installs
- —
- Outcomes
- —
Copies are not installs. Installation counts require a reported successful installation; they are not a blanket quality guarantee.
Agent access
This page exposes the same decision, trust, audit, use-case, and install signals through the Registry API, so agents can rank this skill without scraping the UI.
More details
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"sandbox_required": true,
"reason": "Do not auto-install. Inspect the source, dependencies, and permission surface first."
},
"best_for": [
"research",
"agent-skill"
],
"known_risks": [
"AI review approval is missing",
"Financial research output is not financial advice; require human review before any live investment decision.",
"This skill may touch real-money trading, broker, wallet, or exchange operations; use only in a sandbox with explicit approval.",
"Quality score needs review",
"Review status: AI review approval is missing"
]
},
"agent_proven": {
"version": "agent-proven-v1",
"score": 0,
"tier": "unproven",
"label": "Needs first agent run",
"summary": "No agent outcome reports yet. Use Resolve, run one narrow sandbox task, then report the result.",
"metrics": {
"totalOutcomes": 0,
"successfulOutcomes": 0,
"failedOutcomes": 0,
"installAttempts": 0,
"installSuccessRate": null,
"successRate": null,
"recentSuccessRate": null,
"recentFailureRate": null,
"riskBlocked": 0,
"setupRequired": 0,
"notRelevant": 0,
"avgOutputQuality": null,
"avgTimeToUsefulMs": null,
"productionOutcomes": 0,
"humanReviewRequired": 0,
"uniqueAgents": 0,
"lastOutcomeAt": null
},
"signals": [],
"penalties": [
"No real agent outcome evidence yet"
]
},
"audit": {
"score": 82,
"risk_level": "risky",
"risk_label": "Risky",
"warnings": [
"Financial research output is not financial advice; require human review before any live investment decision",
"Potential broker, wallet, exchange, or real-money execution surface; sandbox and explicit approval are required",
"AI review approval is missing",
"Financial research output is not financial advice; require human review before any live investment decision.",
"This skill may touch real-money trading, broker, wallet, or exchange operations; use only in a sandbox with explicit approval.",
"Quality score needs review",
"Review status: AI review approval is missing"
]
},
"safety_gate": {
"tier": "blocked",
"label": "Blocked for auto-install",
"auto_install_policy": "block",
"auto_install_allowed": false,
"human_review_required": true,
"blocked": true,
"recommended_action": "Do not auto-install. Inspect the source, dependencies, and permission surface first."
},
"quality": {
"score": 69,
"label": "Promising"
},
"supply": {
"track": "Research and knowledge work",
"scenario": "Research agents",
"maintenance": "6d since push",
"risk": "Risky"
},
"alternative_skills": [],
"do_not_use_when": [
"teams that need a vendor-supported SLA",
"high-compliance environments without internal security review",
"No major risk signals from current metadata",
"Audit risk risky exceeds max_risk=medium",
"Financial research output is not financial advice; require human review before any live investment decision",
"Potential broker, wallet, exchange, or real-money execution surface; sandbox and explicit approval are required",
"AI review approval is missing",
"Financial research output is not financial advice; require human review before any live investment decision."
],
"agent_contract": {
"task_input": "Use bionic-decision-engine in an agent workflow",
"recommended_action": "Do not auto-install. Inspect the source, dependencies, and permission surface first.",
"install_policy": "block",
"minimum_review_before_use": [
"Trust: 82/100 Strong shortlist",
"Audit: 82/100 Risky",
"Safety: 66/100 Avoid automatic install",
"Review repository, license, install command, and permission surface before production use."
],
"expected_agent_output": {
"selected_skill": "winstonkoh87-bionic-decision-engine (bionic-decision-engine)",
"install_command": "npx skills add winstonkoh87/Athena-Public --skill bionic-decision-engine",
"risk_summary": "Risky; Blocked for auto-install; Review before production",
"verification_result": "Report the smallest successful task, files touched, warnings, and any missing setup."
}
},
"outcome_feedback": {
"endpoint": "https://www.openagentskill.com/api/agent/outcome",
"method": "POST",
"requires_resolve_event_id": true,
"event_id_source": "Use install_receipt.outcome_feedback.event_id or feedback.event_id returned by /api/agent/resolve for the current task.",
"expected_outcomes": [
"success",
"failed",
"not_relevant",
"blocked_by_risk",
"setup_required"
],
"payload_template": {
"event_id": "<install_receipt.outcome_feedback.event_id or feedback.event_id from /api/agent/resolve>",
"skill_slug": "winstonkoh87-bionic-decision-engine",
"task": "Use bionic-decision-engine in an agent workflow",
"agent": "codex",
"outcome": "success",
"install_used": true,
"risk_blocked": false,
"setup_required": false,
"task_success": true,
"output_quality": 4,
"error_type": null,
"human_review_required": false,
"workspace": "sandbox",
"time_to_useful_ms": 120000,
"notes": "Report the smallest successful task, setup friction, files touched, and risk notes."
}
},
"endpoints": {
"web": "https://www.openagentskill.com/skills/winstonkoh87-bionic-decision-engine",
"api": "https://www.openagentskill.com/api/agent/skills/winstonkoh87-bionic-decision-engine",
"audit": "https://www.openagentskill.com/skills/winstonkoh87-bionic-decision-engine/audit",
"eval": "https://www.openagentskill.com/api/agent/evals?slug=winstonkoh87-bionic-decision-engine&task=Use%20bionic-decision-engine%20in%20an%20agent%20workflow&max_risk=medium",
"resolve": "https://www.openagentskill.com/api/agent/resolve?task=Use%20bionic-decision-engine%20in%20an%20agent%20workflow&agent=codex&max_risk=medium",
"receipt": "https://www.openagentskill.com/api/agent/receipt?task=Use%20bionic-decision-engine%20in%20an%20agent%20workflow&agent=codex&max_risk=medium&format=text",
"install": "https://www.openagentskill.com/api/skills/winstonkoh87-bionic-decision-engine/install",
"manifest": "https://www.openagentskill.com/api/registry/manifest/winstonkoh87-bionic-decision-engine"
}
}For the creator
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- Creator
- winstonkoh87
- Indexed by
- OpenAgentSkill community index
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