{"slug":"evan-kolberg-prediction-market-backtesting","name":"Prediction Market Backtesting","description":"An extension for Nautilus Trader","tagline":"An extension for Nautilus Trader","category":"finance","tags":["finance","backtesting","analysis","algotrading","backtesting-engine","backtesting-tools","backtesting-trading-strategies","polymarket","python","github"],"author":{"name":"evan-kolberg","verified":false,"url":"https://github.com/evan-kolberg"},"attribution":{"status":"community_indexed","statusLabel":"Community indexed","shortLabel":"COMMUNITY INDEXED","sourceLabel":"GitHub star discovery","sourceDetail":"evan-kolberg/prediction-market-backtesting","creatorName":"evan-kolberg","creatorUrl":"https://github.com/evan-kolberg","sourceUrl":"https://github.com/evan-kolberg/prediction-market-backtesting","indexedBy":"OpenAgentSkill community index","claimUrl":"https://www.openagentskill.com/skills/evan-kolberg-prediction-market-backtesting#claim-this-skill","claimCta":"Claim this skill","trustNote":"This listing was indexed from public sources and is not marked official until a maintainer claim is approved.","publicNote":"Attribution links to the public repository or creator profile. Creators can claim the listing to update ownership signals."},"stats":{"stars":966,"forks":144,"downloads":0,"rating":0,"review_count":0,"quality_score":54.6},"quality":{"score":79,"tier":"strong","label":"Strong","summary":"Solid option that is likely worth shortlisting for production workflows.","signals":[{"label":"GitHub stars","value":"966","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Freshness","value":"1mo ago","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Install ready","value":"Yes","tone":"positive"},{"label":"License","value":"Unknown","tone":"neutral"}],"warnings":[]},"trust":{"version":"trust-score-v3","score":80,"tier":"strong","label":"Strong shortlist","summary":"Good trust signals with a few areas worth checking before rollout.","recommendedAction":"Test in a sandbox workflow and compare its install path with close alternatives.","dimensions":[{"id":"github_adoption","label":"GitHub adoption","score":76,"weight":0.13,"status":"info","detail":"966 GitHub stars"},{"id":"repo_activity","label":"Stars/forks activity","score":71,"weight":0.08,"status":"info","detail":"966 stars, 144 forks; issue activity unavailable in current metadata"},{"id":"maintenance","label":"Recent maintenance","score":88,"weight":0.14,"status":"pass","detail":"1mo since push"},{"id":"license","label":"License clarity","score":42,"weight":0.09,"status":"warn","detail":"Unknown"},{"id":"documentation","label":"README/SKILL.md completeness","score":74,"weight":0.14,"status":"info","detail":"Public metadata needs stronger README/SKILL.md context"},{"id":"dependency_risk","label":"Dependency/runtime risk","score":90,"weight":0.12,"status":"pass","detail":"no major dependency risk hints in public metadata"},{"id":"installability","label":"Install availability","score":92,"weight":0.1,"status":"pass","detail":"npx skills add evan-kolberg/prediction-market-backtesting"},{"id":"install_safety","label":"Install command safety","score":92,"weight":0.1,"status":"pass","detail":"standard package or runtime install path"},{"id":"permission_surface","label":"Permission surface","score":86,"weight":0.07,"status":"pass","detail":"filesystem or document access"},{"id":"repository","label":"Repository evidence","score":86,"weight":0.04,"status":"pass","detail":"https://github.com/evan-kolberg/prediction-market-backtesting"},{"id":"review_status","label":"Review status","score":88,"weight":0.05,"status":"pass","detail":"AI review data available"}],"checks":[{"status":"info","label":"GitHub adoption","detail":"966 GitHub stars"},{"status":"info","label":"Stars/forks activity","detail":"966 stars, 144 forks; issue activity unavailable in current metadata"},{"status":"pass","label":"Recent maintenance","detail":"1mo since push"},{"status":"warn","label":"License clarity","detail":"Unknown"},{"status":"info","label":"README/SKILL.md completeness","detail":"Public metadata needs stronger README/SKILL.md context"},{"status":"pass","label":"Dependency/runtime risk","detail":"no major dependency risk hints in public metadata"},{"status":"pass","label":"Install availability","detail":"npx skills add evan-kolberg/prediction-market-backtesting"},{"status":"pass","label":"Install command safety","detail":"standard package or runtime install path"},{"status":"pass","label":"Permission surface","detail":"filesystem or document access"},{"status":"pass","label":"Repository evidence","detail":"https://github.com/evan-kolberg/prediction-market-backtesting"},{"status":"pass","label":"Review status","detail":"AI review data available"},{"status":"warn","label":"Ownership","detail":"No approved owner claim yet"},{"status":"info","label":"OpenAgentSkill usage","detail":"No local usage activity yet"}],"strengths":["AI review approved","Install path is available","Repository evidence is available","Recently maintained repository","Meaningful GitHub adoption signal","Install command has no obvious high-risk pattern"],"warnings":["License is unclear","Quality score needs review","License clarity: Unknown"],"evidence":{"stars":"966 GitHub stars","repoActivity":"966 stars, 144 forks","lastPushed":"1mo since push","license":"Unknown","repository":"https://github.com/evan-kolberg/prediction-market-backtesting","install":"npx skills add evan-kolberg/prediction-market-backtesting","installSafety":"standard package or runtime install path","permissionSurface":"filesystem or document access","documentation":"Usable metadata, review docs"},"installReadiness":{"ready":true,"command":"npx skills add evan-kolberg/prediction-market-backtesting","policy":"human_review_before_install","label":"Human review before install","notes":["Install path is available","Repository evidence is available","License is unclear","1mo since push"]},"agentCompatibility":["Python","Backtesting","Codex","Claude Code","Cursor","OpenAgentSkill CLI"],"riskSummary":{"level":"medium","label":"Review before production","notes":["License is unclear","Quality score needs review","License clarity: Unknown"]}},"safety":{"score":66,"level":"review_before_install","label":"Review before install","safety_tier":{"tier":"reviewed","label":"Reviewed with permission notes","badge":"REVIEWED","summary":"Usable candidate, but the agent should surface permission and audit notes before installation.","recommended_action":"Require human approval before installing into a real workspace.","auto_install_policy":"review","reasons":["License is unclear","66/100 agent safety score"]},"auto_install_allowed":false,"human_review_required":true,"blocked":false,"audit_risk":"safe_to_try","permission_hints":[{"id":"network","label":"Network access","reason":"Skill likely fetches remote pages, APIs, repositories, or external services.","severity":"medium"},{"id":"filesystem","label":"Filesystem access","reason":"Skill may read or write project files, documents, generated artifacts, or local workspace state.","severity":"medium"}],"policy_warnings":["License is unclear"],"constraints_applied":{"max_risk":"medium","needs_install_command":true,"min_stars":0}},"safety_gate":{"tier":"reviewed","label":"Reviewed with permission notes","badge":"REVIEWED","auto_install_policy":"review","auto_install_allowed":false,"human_review_required":true,"blocked":false,"recommended_action":"Require human approval before installing into a real workspace.","reasons":["License is unclear","66/100 agent safety score"]},"supply_profile":{"track":{"slug":"finance","label":"Finance and quant workflows","shortLabel":"Finance","description":"Market data, SEC filings, portfolio analysis, quant research, backtesting, and risk workflows."},"scenario":{"label":"Finance and quant","description":"I need my agent to analyze markets, financial data, filings, portfolios, and quant strategies.","useCases":[{"slug":"finance-quant","title":"Finance and quant"},{"slug":"coding-agents","title":"Coding agents"},{"slug":"sports-analytics","title":"Sports analytics"}]},"applicableAgents":["Claude Code","CLI","Codex","Cursor","Python"],"install":{"ready":true,"command":"npx skills add evan-kolberg/prediction-market-backtesting","primaryTarget":"CLI","targetCount":4},"githubQuality":{"stars":966,"starsLabel":"966","forks":144,"license":"Unknown","qualityScore":79,"trustScore":80,"auditScore":82},"maintenance":{"status":"active","label":"1mo since push","daysSincePush":31,"lastPushedAt":"2026-05-16T21:24:47+00:00"},"risk":{"level":"safe_to_try","label":"Safe to try","requiresReview":true,"notes":["License is unclear","Quality score needs review","License clarity: Unknown"]},"coverageTags":["Finance","Finance and quant","backtesting","analysis","algotrading","backtesting-engine","backtesting-tools","backtesting-trading-strategies"]},"audit":{"audit_score":82,"risk_level":"safe_to_try","risk_label":"Safe to try","warnings":["License is unclear","Quality score needs review","License clarity: Unknown"]},"decision":{"readiness_score":90,"readiness_label":"Production-ready","headline":"Primary pick for Finance and quant","role":"Primary pick","primary_fit":"Finance and quant","best_for":["Finance and quant workflows","Claude Code teams","teams that value GitHub adoption signals"],"risks":["No OpenAgentSkill engagement data yet"],"next_steps":["Install it in a sandbox agent and run one Finance and quant task end to end.","Compare output quality, latency, and failure behavior against at least one alternative.","Promote it into production only after reviewing repository permissions, license, and maintenance signals."]},"platforms":["Python","Backtesting","Claude Code"],"use_cases":[{"slug":"finance-quant","title":"Finance and quant","url":"https://www.openagentskill.com/use-cases/finance-quant"},{"slug":"coding-agents","title":"Coding agents","url":"https://www.openagentskill.com/use-cases/coding-agents"},{"slug":"sports-analytics","title":"Sports analytics","url":"https://www.openagentskill.com/use-cases/sports-analytics"},{"slug":"rag-knowledge","title":"RAG and knowledge","url":"https://www.openagentskill.com/use-cases/rag-knowledge"}],"install":"npx skills add evan-kolberg/prediction-market-backtesting","install_targets":[{"id":"openagentskill-cli","label":"CLI","title":"OpenAgentSkill CLI","kind":"command","value":"npx skills add evan-kolberg/prediction-market-backtesting","description":"Use the registry command when your workflow supports the OpenAgentSkill installer.","copyLabel":"Copy command"},{"id":"codex","label":"Codex","title":"Codex install prompt","kind":"agent-prompt","value":"Install the \"Prediction Market Backtesting\" agent skill from https://github.com/evan-kolberg/prediction-market-backtesting. Read its SKILL.md or equivalent instructions first, install only the files needed for this workspace, and summarize any required setup before using it. Skill purpose: An extension for Nautilus Trader","description":"Give Codex a repo-aware install prompt when the skill is not available through a local CLI.","copyLabel":"Copy prompt"},{"id":"claude-code","label":"Claude Code","title":"Claude Code skill prompt","kind":"agent-prompt","value":"Add \"Prediction Market Backtesting\" as a Claude Code skill from https://github.com/evan-kolberg/prediction-market-backtesting. Inspect the skill instructions, place the reusable skill files in the appropriate local skills location for this project, and report the activation steps. Skill purpose: An extension for Nautilus Trader","description":"Use this prompt to ask Claude Code to add the skill and explain the local activation steps.","copyLabel":"Copy prompt"},{"id":"cursor","label":"Cursor","title":"Cursor rule prompt","kind":"agent-prompt","value":"Turn \"Prediction Market Backtesting\" from https://github.com/evan-kolberg/prediction-market-backtesting into a reusable Cursor project rule or agent instruction. Preserve the core workflow, adapt paths to this repo, and keep the rule scoped to tasks where it is relevant. Skill purpose: An extension for Nautilus Trader","description":"Use this when installing as Cursor project rules or reusable agent instructions.","copyLabel":"Copy prompt"}],"repository":"https://github.com/evan-kolberg/prediction-market-backtesting","github_repo":"evan-kolberg/prediction-market-backtesting","version":"1.0.0","license":"Unknown","updated_at":"2026-06-14T12:00:55.105867+00:00","canonical_key":"evan-kolberg/prediction-market-backtesting","recommendation_reasons":["Useful GitHub adoption: 966 stars","Install handoff is available","Repository freshness signal is available"],"urls":{"web":"https://www.openagentskill.com/skills/evan-kolberg-prediction-market-backtesting","api":"https://www.openagentskill.com/api/agent/skills/evan-kolberg-prediction-market-backtesting","install_api":"https://www.openagentskill.com/api/skills/evan-kolberg-prediction-market-backtesting/install","audit":"https://www.openagentskill.com/skills/evan-kolberg-prediction-market-backtesting/audit","repository":"https://github.com/evan-kolberg/prediction-market-backtesting"},"meta":{"endpoint":"/api/registry/manifest/{slug}","canonical_agent_endpoint":"/api/agent/skills/evan-kolberg-prediction-market-backtesting","agent_friendly":true,"api_version":"1.0","generated_at":"2026-06-17T11:15:41.491Z"}}