{"slug":"tradermonty-us-market-bubble-detector","name":"us-market-bubble-detector","description":"Evaluates market bubble risk through quantitative data-driven analysis using the revised Minsky/Kindleberger framework v2.1. Prioritizes objective metrics (Put/Call, VIX, margin debt, breadth, IPO data) over subjective impressions. Features strict qualitative adjustment criteria with confirmation bias prevention. Supports practical investment decisions with mandatory data collection and mechanical scoring. Use when user asks about bubble risk, valuation concerns, or profit-taking timing.","long_description":"---\nname: us-market-bubble-detector\ndescription: Evaluates market bubble risk through quantitative data-driven analysis using the revised Minsky/Kindleberger framework v2.1. Prioritizes objective metrics (Put/Call, VIX, margin debt, breadth, IPO data) over subjective impressions. Features strict qualitative adjustment criteria with confirmation bias prevention. Supports practical investment decisions with mandatory data collection and mechanical scoring. Use when user asks about bubble risk, valuation concerns, or profit-taking timing.\n---\n\n# US Market Bubble Detection Skill (Revised v2.1)\n\n## Key Revisions in v2.1\n\n**Critical Changes from v2.0:**\n1. ✅ **Mandatory Quantitative Data Collection** - Use measured values, not impressions or speculation\n2. ✅ **Clear Threshold Settings** - Specific numerical criteria for each indicator\n3. ✅ **Two-Phase Evaluation Process** - Quantitative evaluation → Qualitative adjustment (strict order)\n4. ✅ **Stricter Qualitative Criteria** - Max +3 points (reduced from +5), requires measurable evidence\n5. ✅ **Confirmation Bias Prevention** - Explicit checklist to avoid over-scoring\n6. ✅ **Granular Risk Phases** - Added \"Elevated Risk\" phase (8-9 points) for nuanced risk management\n\n---\n\n## When to Use This Skill\n\nUse this skill when:\n\n**English:**\n- User asks \"Is the market in a bubble?\" or \"Are we in a bubble?\"\n- User seeks advice on profit-taking, new entry timing, or short-selling decisions\n- User reports social phenomena (non-investors entering, media frenzy, IPO flood)\n- User mentions narratives like \"this time is different\" or \"revolutionary technology\" becoming mainstream\n- User consults about risk management for existing positions\n\n**Japanese:**\n- ユーザーが「今の相場はバブルか?」と尋ねる\n- 投資の利確・新規参入・空売りのタイミング判断を求める\n- 社会現象(非投資家の参入、メディア過熱、IPO氾濫)を観察し懸念を表明\n- 「今回は違う」「革命的技術」などの物語が主流化している状況を報告\n- 保有ポジションのリスク管理方法を相談\n\n---\n\n## Evaluation Process (Strict Order)\n\n### Phase 1: Mandatory Quantitative Data Collection\n\n**CRITICAL: Always collect the following data before starting evaluation**\n\n#### 1.1 Market Structure Data (Highest Priority)\n```\n□ Put/Call Ratio (CBOE Equity P/C)\n  - Source: CBOE DataShop or web_search \"CBOE put call ratio\"\n  - Collect: 5-day moving average\n\n□ VIX (Fear Index)\n  - Source: Yahoo Finance ^VIX or web_search \"VIX current\"\n  - Collect: Current value + percentile over past 3 months\n\n□ Volatility Indicators\n  - 21-day realized volatility\n  - Historical position of VIX (determine if in bottom 10th percentile)\n```\n\n#### 1.2 Leverage & Positioning Data\n```\n□ FINRA Margin Debt Balance\n  - Source: web_search \"FINRA margin debt latest\"\n  - Collect: Latest month + Year-over-Year % change\n\n□ Breadth (Market Participation)\n  - % of S&P 500 stocks above 50-day MA\n  - Source: web_search \"S&P 500 breadth 50 day moving average\"\n```\n\n#### 1.3 IPO & New Issuance Data\n```\n□ IPO Count & First-Day Performance\n  - Source: Renaissance Capital IPO or web_search \"IPO market 2025\"\n  - Collect: Quarterly count + median first-day return\n```\n\n**⚠️ CRITICAL: Do NOT proceed with evaluation without Phase 1 data collection**\n\n---\n\n### Phase 2: Quantitative Evaluation (Quantitative Scoring)\n\nScore mechanically based on collected data using the following criteria:\n\n#### Indicator 1: Put/Call Ratio (Market Sentiment)\n```\nScoring Criteria:\n- 2 points: P/C < 0.70 (excessive optimism, call-heavy)\n- 1 point: P/C 0.70-0.85 (slightly optimistic)\n- 0 points: P/C > 0.85 (healthy caution)\n\nRationale: P/C < 0.7 is historically characteristic of bubble periods\n```\n\n#### Indicator 2: Volatility Suppression + New Highs\n```\nScoring Criteria:\n- 2 points: VIX < 12 AND major index within 5% of 52-week high\n- 1 point: VIX 12-15 AND near highs\n- 0 points: VIX > 15 OR more than 10% from highs\n\nRationale: Extreme low volatility + highs indicates excessive complacency\n```\n\n#### Indicator 3: Leverage (Margin Debt Balance)\n```\nScoring Criteria:\n- 2 points: YoY +20% or more AND all-time high\n- 1 point: YoY +10-20%\n- 0 points: YoY +10% or less OR negative\n\nRationale: Rapid leverage increase is a bubble precursor\n```\n\n#### Indicator 4: IPO Market Overheating\n```\nScoring Criteria:\n- 2 points: Quarterly IPO count > 2x 5-year average AND median first-day return +20%+\n- 1 point: Quarterly IPO count > 1.5x 5-year average\n- 0 points: Normal levels\n\nRationale: Poor-quality IPO flood is characteristic of late-stage bubbles\n```\n\n#### Indicator 5: Breadth Anomaly (Narrow Leadership)\n```\nScoring Criteria:\n- 2 points: New high AND < 45% of stocks above 50DMA (narrow leadership)\n- 1 point: 45-60% above 50DMA (somewhat narrow)\n- 0 points: > 60% above 50DMA (healthy breadth)\n\nRationale: Rally driven by few stocks is fragile\n```\n\n#### Indicator 6: Price Acceleration\n```\nScoring Criteria:\n- 2 points: Past 3-month return exceeds 95th percentile of past 10 years\n- 1 point: Past 3-month return in 85-95th percentile of past 10 years\n- 0 points: Below 85th percentile\n\nRationale: Rapid price acceleration is unsustainable\n```\n\n---\n\n### Phase 3: Qualitative Adjustment (REVISED v2.1)\n\n**Limit: +3 points maximum (REDUCED from +5 in v2.0)**\n\n**⚠️ CONFIRMATION BIAS PREVENTION CHECKLIST:**\n```\nBefore adding ANY qualitative points:\n□ Do I have concrete, measurable data? (not impressions)\n□ Would an independent observer reach the same conclusion?\n□ Am I avoiding double-counting with Phase 2 scores?\n□ Have I documented specific evidence with sources?\n```\n\n#### Adjustment A: Social Penetration (0-1 points, STRICT CRITERIA)\n```\n+1 point: ALL THREE criteria must be met:\n  ✓ Direct user report of non-investor recommendations\n  ✓ Specific examples with names/dates/conversations\n  ✓ Multiple independent sources (minimum 3)\n\n+0 points: Any criteria missing\n\n⚠️ INVALID EXAMPLES:\n- \"AI narrative is prevalent\" (unmeasurable)\n- \"I saw articles about retail investors\" (not direct report)\n- \"Everyone is talking about stocks\" (vague, unverified)\n\n✅ VALID EXAMPLE:\n\"My barber asked about NVDA (Nov 1), dentist mentioned AI stocks (Nov 2),\nUber driver discussed crypto (Nov 3)\"\n```\n\n#### Adjustment B: Media/Search Trends (0-1 points, REQUIRES MEASUREMENT)\n```\n+1 point: BOTH criteria must be met:\n  ✓ Google Trends showing 5x+ YoY increase (measured)\n  ✓ Mainstream coverage confirmed (Time covers, TV specials with dates)\n\n+0 points: Search trends <5x OR no mainstream coverage\n\n⚠️ CRITICAL: \"Elevated narrative\" without data = +0 points\n\nHOW TO VERIFY:\n1. Search \"[topic] Google Trends 2025\" and document numbers\n2. Search \"[topic] Time magazine cover\" for specific dates\n3. Search \"[topic] CNBC special\" for episode confirmation\n\n✅ VALID EXAMPLE:\n\"Google Trends: 'AI stocks' at 780 (baseline 150 = 5.2x).\nTime cover 'AI Revolution' (Oct 15, 2025).\nCNBC 'AI Investment Special' (3 episodes Oct 2025).\"\n\n⚠️ INVALID EXAMPLE:\n\"AI/technology narrative seems elevated\" (unmeasurable)\n```\n\n#### Adjustment C: Valuation Disconnect (0-1 points, AVOID DOUBLE-COUNTING)\n```\n+1 point: ALL criteria must be met:\n  ✓ P/E >25 (if NOT already counted in Phase 2 quantitative)\n  ✓ Fundamentals explicitly ignored in mainstream discourse\n  ✓ \"This time is different\" documented in major media\n\n+0 points: P/E <25 OR fundamentals support valuations\n\n⚠️ SELF-CHECK QUESTIONS (if ANY is YES, score = 0):\n- Is P/E already in Phase 2 quantitative scoring?\n- Do companies have real earnings supporting valuations?\n- Is the narrative backed by fundamental improvements?\n\n✅ VALID EXAMPLE for +1:\n\"S&P P/E = 35x (vs historical 18x).\nCNBC article: 'Earnings don't matter in AI era' (Oct 2025).\nBloomberg: 'Traditional metrics obsolete' (Nov 2025).\"\n\n⚠️ INVALID EXAMPLE:\n\"P/E 30.8 but companies have real earnings and AI has fundamental backing\"\n(fundamentals support = +0 points)\n```\n\n**Phase 3 Total: Maximum +3 points**\n\n---\n\n### Phase 4: Final Judgment (REVISED v2.1)\n\n```\nFinal Score = Phase 2 Total (0-12 points) + Phase 3 Adjustment (0 to +3 points)\nRange: 0 to 15 points\n\nJudgment Criteria (with Risk Budget):\n- 0-4 points: Normal (Risk Budget: 100%)\n- 5-7 points: Caution (Risk Budget: 70-80%)\n- 8-9 points: Elevated Risk (Risk Budget: 50-70%) ⚠️ NEW in v2.1\n- 10-12 points: Euphoria (Risk Budget: 40-50%)\n- 13-15 points: Critical (Risk Budget: 20-30%)\n```\n\n**Key Change in v2.1:**\n- Added \"Elevated Risk\" phase (8-9 points) for more nuanced positioning\n- 9 points is no longer extreme defensive zone (was 40% risk budget)\n- Now allows 50-70% risk budget at 8-9 point level\n- More gradual transition from Caution to Euphoria phases\n\n---\n\n## Data Sources (Required)\n\n### US Market\n- **Put/Call**: https://www.cboe.com/tradable_products/vix/\n- **VIX**: Yahoo Finance (^VIX) or https://www.cboe.com/\n- **Margin Debt**: https://www.finra.org/investors/learn-to-invest/advanced-investing/margin-statistics\n- **Breadth**: https://www.barchart.com/stocks/indices/sp/sp500?viewName=advanced\n- **IPO**: https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/Stats\n\n### Japanese Market\n- **Nikkei Futures P/C**: https://www.barchart.com/futures/quotes/NO*0/options\n- **JNIVE**: https://www.investing.com/indices/nikkei-volatility-historical-data\n- **Margin Debt**: JSF (Japan Securities Finance) Monthly Report\n- **Breadth**: https://en.macromicro.me/series/31841/japan-topix-index-200ma-breadth\n- **IPO**: https://www.pwc.co.uk/services/audit/insights/global-ipo-watch.html\n\n---\n\n## Implementation Checklist\n\nVerify the following when using:\n\n```\n□ Have you collected all Phase 1 data?\n□ Did you apply each indicator's threshold mechanically?\n□ Did you keep qualitative evaluation within +5 point limit?\n□ Are you NOT assigning points based on news article impressions?\n□ Does your final score align with other quantitative frameworks?\n```\n\n---\n\n## Important Principles (Revised)\n\n### 1. Data > Impressions\nIgnore \"many news reports\" or \"experts are cautious\" without quantitative data.\n\n### 2. Strict Order: Quantitative → Qualitative\nAlways evaluate in this order: Phase 1 (Data Collection) → Phase 2 (Quantitative) → Phase 3 (Qualitative Adjustment).\n\n### 3. Upper Limit on Subjective Indicators\nQualitative adjustment has a total limit of +5 points. It cannot override quantitative evaluation.\n\n### 4. \"Taxi Driver\" is Symbolic\nDo not readily acknowledge mass penetration without direct recommendations from non-investors.\n\n---\n\n## Common Failures and Solutions (Revised)\n\n### Failure 1: Evaluating Based on News Articles\n❌ \"Many reports on Takaichi Trade\" → Media saturation 2 points\n✅ Verify Google Trends numbers → Evaluate with measured values\n\n### Failure 2: Overreaction to Expert Comments\n❌ \"Warning of overheating\" → Euphoria zone\n✅ Judge with measured values of Put/Call, VIX, margin debt\n\n### Failure 3: Emotional Reaction to Price Rise\n❌ 4.5% rise in 1 day → Price acceleration 2 points\n✅ Verify position in 10-year distribution → Objective evaluation\n\n### Failure 4: Judgment Based on Valuation Alone\n❌ P/E 17 → Valuation disconnect 2 points\n✅ P/E + narrative dependence + other quantitative indicators for comprehensive judgment\n\n---\n\n## Recommended Actions by Bubble Stage (REVISED v2.1)\n\n### Normal (0-4 points)\n**Risk Budget: 100%**\n- Continue normal investment strategy\n- Set ATR 2.0× trailing stop\n- Apply stair-step profit-taking rule (+20% take 25%)\n\n**Short-Selling: Not Allowed**\n- Composite conditions not met (0/7 items)\n\n### Caution (5-7 points)\n**Risk Budget: 70-80%**\n- Begin partial profit-taking (20-30% reduction)\n- Tighten ATR to 1.8×\n- Reduce new position sizing by 50%\n\n**Short-Selling: Not Recommended**\n- Wait for clearer reversal signals\n\n### Elevated Risk (8-9 points) ⚠️ NEW in v2.1\n**Risk Budget: 50-70%**\n- Increase profit-taking (30-50% reduction)\n- Tighten ATR to 1.6×\n- New positions: highly selective, quality only\n- Begin building cash reserves for future opportunities\n\n**Short-Selling: Consider Cautiously**\n- Only after confirming at least 2/7 composite conditions\n- Small exploratory positions (10-15% of normal size)\n- Strict stop-loss (ATR 2.0×)\n\n**Rationale for NEW phase:**\nThis zone represents heightened caution without extreme defensiveness","tagline":"Evaluates market bubble risk through quantitative data-driven analysis using the revised Minsky/Kindleberger framework v2.1. Prioritizes objective metrics (Put/Call, VIX, margin debt, breadth, IPO data) over subjective impressions. Features strict qualitative adjustment criteria ","category":"data-analysis","tags":["agent-skill"],"author":"tradermonty","verified":false,"attribution":{"status":"registry_indexed","statusLabel":"Registry indexed","shortLabel":"REGISTRY INDEXED","sourceLabel":"github candidate review","sourceDetail":"tradermonty/claude-trading-skills","creatorName":"tradermonty","creatorUrl":"https://github.com/tradermonty","sourceUrl":"https://github.com/tradermonty/claude-trading-skills/tree/main/examples/weekly-trade-strategy/.claude/skills/us-market-bubble-detector","indexedBy":"OpenAgentSkill community index","claimUrl":"https://www.openagentskill.com/skills/tradermonty-us-market-bubble-detector#claim-this-skill","claimCta":"Claim this skill","trustNote":"This listing was indexed from public sources and is not marked official until a maintainer claim is approved.","publicNote":"Attribution links to the public repository or creator profile. Creators can claim the listing to update ownership signals."},"stats":{"stars":2761,"forks":633,"verified_installs":0,"successful_runs":0,"total_outcomes":0,"rating":0,"review_count":0,"quality_score":47.49},"quality":{"score":82,"tier":"strong","label":"Strong","summary":"Solid option that is likely worth shortlisting for production workflows.","signals":[{"label":"GitHub stars","value":"2.8K","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Freshness","value":"5d ago","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Install ready","value":"Yes","tone":"positive"},{"label":"License","value":"MIT","tone":"neutral"}],"warnings":["The SKILL.md excerpt is truncated, but the available content indicates a well-structured and complete skill."]},"trust":{"version":"trust-score-v5","score":71,"base_score":79,"outcome_confidence":0,"tier":"review","label":"Sandbox only","summary":"Useful candidate with missing or mixed trust signals. 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issue activity unavailable in current metadata"},{"status":"pass","label":"Recent maintenance","detail":"5d since push"},{"status":"pass","label":"License clarity","detail":"MIT"},{"status":"pass","label":"README/SKILL.md completeness","detail":"Metadata includes enough usage and workflow context"},{"status":"pass","label":"Dependency/runtime risk","detail":"no major dependency risk hints in public metadata"},{"status":"pass","label":"Install availability","detail":"npx skills add tradermonty/claude-trading-skills --skill us-market-bubble-detector"},{"status":"pass","label":"Install command safety","detail":"standard package or runtime install path"},{"status":"pass","label":"Permission surface","detail":"filesystem or document access"},{"status":"pass","label":"Repository evidence","detail":"https://github.com/tradermonty/claude-trading-skills/tree/main/examples/weekly-trade-strategy/.claude/skills/us-market-bubble-detector"},{"status":"info","label":"Review status","detail":"AI review data available"},{"status":"info","label":"Agent Proven outcomes","detail":"No agent outcome data yet"},{"status":"warn","label":"Ownership","detail":"No approved owner claim yet"},{"status":"info","label":"OpenAgentSkill usage","detail":"No local usage activity yet"},{"status":"info","label":"Agent outcomes","detail":"No agent outcome data yet"}],"strengths":["AI review approved","Install path is available","Repository evidence is available","Recently maintained repository","Meaningful GitHub adoption signal","Install command has no obvious high-risk pattern","Outcome loop is ready but needs first real agent run"],"warnings":["The SKILL.md excerpt is truncated, but the available content indicates a well-structured and complete skill.","Financial research output is not financial advice; require human review before any live investment decision.","Quality score needs review","No real agent outcome reports yet","Human review required before unattended installation"],"evidence":{"stars":"2.8K GitHub stars","repoActivity":"2.8K stars, 633 forks","lastPushed":"5d since push","license":"MIT","repository":"https://github.com/tradermonty/claude-trading-skills/tree/main/examples/weekly-trade-strategy/.claude/skills/us-market-bubble-detector","install":"npx skills add tradermonty/claude-trading-skills --skill us-market-bubble-detector","installSafety":"standard package or runtime install path","permissionSurface":"filesystem or document access","documentation":"Strong README/SKILL.md context","agentOutcomes":"No agent outcome data yet","agentProvenScore":0,"outcomeConfidence":"0%","installPolicy":"human_review_before_install"},"installReadiness":{"ready":true,"command":"npx skills add tradermonty/claude-trading-skills --skill us-market-bubble-detector","policy":"human_review_before_install","label":"Human review before install","notes":["Install path is available","Repository evidence is available","License is declared","No Agent Proven outcome evidence yet","5d since push","Financial domain: human review is required before use in a live investment workflow.","Trust Score v5 requires review or sandbox-only use before install."]},"agentCompatibility":["Codex","Claude Code","Cursor","OpenAgentSkill CLI"],"riskSummary":{"level":"medium","label":"Review before production","notes":["The SKILL.md excerpt is truncated, but the available content indicates a well-structured and complete skill.","Financial research output is not financial advice; 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require human review before any live investment decision.","Quality score needs review"],"backward_compatible":{"trust_score_v4":{"version":"trust-score-v4","score":79,"tier":"strong","label":"Strong shortlist","summary":"Good trust signals with a few areas worth checking before rollout."}}},"trust_score_v4":{"version":"trust-score-v4","score":79,"tier":"strong","label":"Strong shortlist","summary":"Good trust signals with a few areas worth checking before rollout.","recommendedAction":"Test in a sandbox workflow and compare its install path with close alternatives.","dimensions":[{"id":"github_adoption","label":"GitHub adoption","score":86,"weight":0.13,"status":"pass","detail":"2.8K GitHub stars"},{"id":"repo_activity","label":"Stars/forks activity","score":83,"weight":0.08,"status":"pass","detail":"2.8K stars, 633 forks; issue activity unavailable in current metadata"},{"id":"maintenance","label":"Recent maintenance","score":100,"weight":0.14,"status":"pass","detail":"5d since push"},{"id":"license","label":"License clarity","score":86,"weight":0.09,"status":"pass","detail":"MIT"},{"id":"documentation","label":"README/SKILL.md completeness","score":86,"weight":0.14,"status":"pass","detail":"Metadata includes enough usage and workflow context"},{"id":"dependency_risk","label":"Dependency/runtime risk","score":90,"weight":0.12,"status":"pass","detail":"no major dependency risk hints in public metadata"},{"id":"installability","label":"Install availability","score":92,"weight":0.1,"status":"pass","detail":"npx skills add tradermonty/claude-trading-skills --skill us-market-bubble-detector"},{"id":"install_safety","label":"Install command safety","score":92,"weight":0.1,"status":"pass","detail":"standard package or runtime install path"},{"id":"permission_surface","label":"Permission surface","score":86,"weight":0.07,"status":"pass","detail":"filesystem or document access"},{"id":"repository","label":"Repository evidence","score":86,"weight":0.04,"status":"pass","detail":"https://github.com/tradermonty/claude-trading-skills/tree/main/examples/weekly-trade-strategy/.claude/skills/us-market-bubble-detector"},{"id":"review_status","label":"Review status","score":66,"weight":0.05,"status":"info","detail":"AI review data available"},{"id":"agent_outcomes","label":"Agent Proven outcomes","score":54,"weight":0.13,"status":"info","detail":"No agent outcome data yet"}],"checks":[{"status":"pass","label":"GitHub adoption","detail":"2.8K GitHub stars"},{"status":"pass","label":"Stars/forks activity","detail":"2.8K stars, 633 forks; issue activity unavailable in current metadata"},{"status":"pass","label":"Recent maintenance","detail":"5d since push"},{"status":"pass","label":"License clarity","detail":"MIT"},{"status":"pass","label":"README/SKILL.md completeness","detail":"Metadata includes enough usage and workflow context"},{"status":"pass","label":"Dependency/runtime risk","detail":"no major dependency risk hints in public metadata"},{"status":"pass","label":"Install availability","detail":"npx skills add tradermonty/claude-trading-skills --skill us-market-bubble-detector"},{"status":"pass","label":"Install command safety","detail":"standard package or runtime install path"},{"status":"pass","label":"Permission surface","detail":"filesystem or document access"},{"status":"pass","label":"Repository evidence","detail":"https://github.com/tradermonty/claude-trading-skills/tree/main/examples/weekly-trade-strategy/.claude/skills/us-market-bubble-detector"},{"status":"info","label":"Review status","detail":"AI review data available"},{"status":"info","label":"Agent Proven outcomes","detail":"No agent outcome data yet"},{"status":"warn","label":"Ownership","detail":"No approved owner claim yet"},{"status":"info","label":"OpenAgentSkill usage","detail":"No local usage activity yet"},{"status":"info","label":"Agent outcomes","detail":"No agent outcome data yet"}],"strengths":["AI review approved","Install path is available","Repository evidence is available","Recently maintained repository","Meaningful GitHub adoption signal","Install command has no obvious high-risk pattern"],"warnings":["The SKILL.md excerpt is truncated, but the available content indicates a well-structured and complete skill.","Financial research output is not financial advice; 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require human review before any live investment decision.","Quality score needs review"]},"agent_proven":{"version":"agent-proven-v1","score":0,"tier":"unproven","label":"Needs first agent run","summary":"No agent outcome reports yet. Use Resolve, run one narrow sandbox task, then report the result.","metrics":{"totalOutcomes":0,"successfulOutcomes":0,"failedOutcomes":0,"installAttempts":0,"installSuccessRate":null,"successRate":null,"recentSuccessRate":null,"recentFailureRate":null,"riskBlocked":0,"setupRequired":0,"notRelevant":0,"avgOutputQuality":null,"avgTimeToUsefulMs":null,"productionOutcomes":0,"humanReviewRequired":0,"uniqueAgents":0,"lastOutcomeAt":null},"signals":[],"penalties":["No real agent outcome evidence yet"]},"outcome_stats":null,"safety":{"score":69,"level":"review_before_install","label":"Review before install","safety_tier":{"tier":"reviewed","label":"Reviewed with permission notes","badge":"REVIEWED","summary":"Usable candidate, but the agent should surface permission and audit notes before installation.","recommended_action":"Require human approval before installing into a real workspace.","auto_install_policy":"review","reasons":["Financial research output is not financial advice; require human review before any live investment decision","69/100 agent safety score"]},"auto_install_allowed":false,"human_review_required":true,"blocked":false,"audit_risk":"needs_review","permission_hints":[{"id":"network","label":"Network access","reason":"Skill likely fetches remote pages, APIs, repositories, or external services.","severity":"medium"},{"id":"filesystem","label":"Filesystem access","reason":"Skill may read or write project files, documents, generated artifacts, or local workspace state.","severity":"medium"}],"policy_warnings":["Financial research output is not financial advice; require human review before any live investment decision"],"constraints_applied":{"max_risk":"medium","needs_install_command":true,"min_stars":0}},"safety_gate":{"tier":"reviewed","label":"Reviewed with permission notes","badge":"REVIEWED","auto_install_policy":"review","auto_install_allowed":false,"blocked":false,"human_review_required":true,"recommended_action":"Require human approval before installing into a real workspace.","reasons":["Financial research output is not financial advice; require human review before any live investment decision","69/100 agent safety score"]},"eval":{"version":"openagentskill-skill-eval-v1","status":"review","score":79,"risk_level":"medium","decision":{"recommendation":"manual_review","reason":"Require human approval before installing into a real workspace.","auto_install_allowed":false,"policy":"review","human_review_required":true},"blockers":[],"warnings":["Trust score: Good trust signals with a few areas worth checking before rollout.","Audit score: Needs review","Agent safety gate: Usable candidate, but the agent should surface permission and audit notes before installation.","Financial research output is not financial advice; require human review before any live investment decision","The SKILL.md excerpt is truncated, but the available content indicates a well-structured and complete skill.","No critical security risks identified; the skill relies on web_search for data collection and does not execute arbitrary code or access sensitive resources.","Financial research output is not financial advice; require human review before any live investment decision.","Quality score needs review"],"validation_plan":["Inspect repository, README/SKILL.md, license, and recent commits before production use.","Install in an isolated workspace or sandbox with no production secrets available.","Run the smallest representative task and record files touched, commands run, network access, and outputs.","Compare the selected skill against at least one alternative when the eval status is review or failed.","Promote only after the agent reports a successful verification result and unresolved warnings are accepted."],"checks":[{"id":"task_fit","label":"Task fit","status":"pass","score":84,"required_for_auto_install":true,"detail":"Task wording matches this skill metadata.","evidence":["Evaluate us-market-bubble-detector before installing it in an agent workflow","data-analysis","Finance and quant workflows; 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require human review before any live investment decision"]},{"id":"agent_safety_gate","label":"Agent safety gate","status":"warn","score":69,"required_for_auto_install":true,"detail":"Usable candidate, but the agent should surface permission and audit notes before installation.","evidence":["Require human approval before installing into a real workspace.","Financial research output is not financial advice; require human review before any live investment decision"]},{"id":"readme_skillmd_completeness","label":"README/SKILL.md completeness","status":"pass","score":86,"required_for_auto_install":false,"detail":"Metadata includes enough usage and workflow context","evidence":["Strong README/SKILL.md context"]},{"id":"license_clarity","label":"License clarity","status":"pass","score":86,"required_for_auto_install":true,"detail":"MIT","evidence":["MIT"]},{"id":"recent_maintenance","label":"Recent maintenance","status":"pass","score":100,"required_for_auto_install":false,"detail":"5d since push","evidence":["5d since push"]},{"id":"permission_surface","label":"Permission surface","status":"pass","score":86,"required_for_auto_install":true,"detail":"filesystem or document access","evidence":["Network access: medium","Filesystem access: medium"]},{"id":"alternatives","label":"Alternatives available","status":"info","score":55,"required_for_auto_install":false,"detail":"No close alternatives were found in the current shortlist.","evidence":[]}],"endpoints":{"web":"https://www.openagentskill.com/skills/tradermonty-us-market-bubble-detector/evals","api":"/api/agent/evals?slug=tradermonty-us-market-bubble-detector","text":"/api/agent/evals?slug=tradermonty-us-market-bubble-detector&format=text"}},"agent_readable_metadata":{"version":"openagentskill-agent-metadata-v2","skill":{"slug":"tradermonty-us-market-bubble-detector","name":"us-market-bubble-detector","description":"Evaluates market bubble risk through quantitative data-driven analysis using the revised Minsky/Kindleberger framework v2.1. Prioritizes objective metrics (Put/Call, VIX, margin debt, breadth, IPO data) over subjective impressions. Features strict qualitative adjustment criteria with confirmation bias prevention. Supports practical investment decisions with mandatory data collection and mechanical scoring. Use when user asks about bubble risk, valuation concerns, or profit-taking timing.","category":"data-analysis","url":"https://www.openagentskill.com/skills/tradermonty-us-market-bubble-detector","repository":"https://github.com/tradermonty/claude-trading-skills/tree/main/examples/weekly-trade-strategy/.claude/skills/us-market-bubble-detector","github_repo":"tradermonty/claude-trading-skills"},"suited_tasks":["Finance and quant workflows","Claude Code teams","teams that value GitHub adoption signals","Retrieve market data","Compare financial signals","Generate investor-ready analysis","Search sources","Extract claims"],"suited_agents":["Codex","Claude Code","Cursor","OpenAgentSkill CLI","CLI"],"install":{"command":"npx skills add tradermonty/claude-trading-skills --skill us-market-bubble-detector","ready":true,"targets":[{"id":"openagentskill-cli","label":"CLI","kind":"command","value":"npx --yes https://github.com/Leon-Drq/openagentskill/releases/download/cli-v0.3.0/openagentskill-0.3.0.tgz add tradermonty-us-market-bubble-detector"},{"id":"codex","label":"Codex","kind":"agent-prompt","value":"Install the \"us-market-bubble-detector\" agent skill from https://github.com/tradermonty/claude-trading-skills/tree/main/examples/weekly-trade-strategy/.claude/skills/us-market-bubble-detector. Read its SKILL.md or equivalent instructions first, install only the files needed for this workspace, and summarize any required setup before using it. Skill purpose: Evaluates market bubble risk through quantitative data-driven analysis using the revised Minsky/Kindleberger framework v2.1. Prioritizes objective metrics (Put/Call, VIX, margin debt, breadth, IPO data) over subjective impressions. Features strict qualitative adjustment criteria with confirmation bias prevention. Supports practical investment decisions with mandatory data collection and mechanical scoring. Use when user asks about bubble risk, valuation concerns, or profit-taking timing. After the install attempt, report the result to https://www.openagentskill.com/api/agent/outcome with POST JSON {\"event_id\":\"install_<unique-id>\",\"skill_slug\":\"tradermonty-us-market-bubble-detector\",\"task\":\"Install us-market-bubble-detector\",\"agent\":\"codex\",\"outcome\":\"success\",\"install_used\":true}. Replace event_id with a unique value and outcome with success or failed. Report success only after the skill is installed and a minimal verification passes."},{"id":"claude-code","label":"Claude Code","kind":"agent-prompt","value":"Add \"us-market-bubble-detector\" as a Claude Code skill from https://github.com/tradermonty/claude-trading-skills/tree/main/examples/weekly-trade-strategy/.claude/skills/us-market-bubble-detector. Inspect the skill instructions, place the reusable skill files in the appropriate local skills location for this project, and report the activation steps. Skill purpose: Evaluates market bubble risk through quantitative data-driven analysis using the revised Minsky/Kindleberger framework v2.1. Prioritizes objective metrics (Put/Call, VIX, margin debt, breadth, IPO data) over subjective impressions. Features strict qualitative adjustment criteria with confirmation bias prevention. Supports practical investment decisions with mandatory data collection and mechanical scoring. Use when user asks about bubble risk, valuation concerns, or profit-taking timing. After the install attempt, report the result to https://www.openagentskill.com/api/agent/outcome with POST JSON {\"event_id\":\"install_<unique-id>\",\"skill_slug\":\"tradermonty-us-market-bubble-detector\",\"task\":\"Install us-market-bubble-detector\",\"agent\":\"claude-code\",\"outcome\":\"success\",\"install_used\":true}. Replace event_id with a unique value and outcome with success or failed. Report success only after the skill is installed and a minimal verification passes."},{"id":"cursor","label":"Cursor","kind":"agent-prompt","value":"Turn \"us-market-bubble-detector\" from https://github.com/tradermonty/claude-trading-skills/tree/main/examples/weekly-trade-strategy/.claude/skills/us-market-bubble-detector into a reusable Cursor project rule or agent instruction. Preserve the core workflow, adapt paths to this repo, and keep the rule scoped to tasks where it is relevant. Skill purpose: Evaluates market bubble risk through quantitative data-driven analysis using the revised Minsky/Kindleberger framework v2.1. Prioritizes objective metrics (Put/Call, VIX, margin debt, breadth, IPO data) over subjective impressions. Features strict qualitative adjustment criteria with confirmation bias prevention. Supports practical investment decisions with mandatory data collection and mechanical scoring. Use when user asks about bubble risk, valuation concerns, or profit-taking timing. After the install attempt, report the result to https://www.openagentskill.com/api/agent/outcome with POST JSON {\"event_id\":\"install_<unique-id>\",\"skill_slug\":\"tradermonty-us-market-bubble-detector\",\"task\":\"Install us-market-bubble-detector\",\"agent\":\"cursor\",\"outcome\":\"success\",\"install_used\":true}. Replace event_id with a unique value and outcome with success or failed. Report success only after the skill is installed and a minimal verification passes."}],"handoff_url":"https://www.openagentskill.com/api/skills/tradermonty-us-market-bubble-detector/install","manifest_url":"https://www.openagentskill.com/api/registry/manifest/tradermonty-us-market-bubble-detector"},"trust":{"score":79,"label":"Strong shortlist","version":"trust-score-v4","install_policy":"human_review_before_install","evidence":{"stars":"2.8K GitHub stars","repoActivity":"2.8K stars, 633 forks","lastPushed":"5d since push","license":"MIT","repository":"https://github.com/tradermonty/claude-trading-skills/tree/main/examples/weekly-trade-strategy/.claude/skills/us-market-bubble-detector","install":"npx skills add tradermonty/claude-trading-skills --skill us-market-bubble-detector","installSafety":"standard package or runtime install path","permissionSurface":"filesystem or document access","documentation":"Strong README/SKILL.md context","agentOutcomes":"No agent outcome data yet"},"outcome_evidence":{"total":0,"successes":0,"failures":0,"not_relevant":0,"success_rate":null,"recent_success_rate":null,"recent_failure_rate":null,"install_attempts":0,"install_success_rate":null,"risk_blocked":0,"setup_required":0,"avg_output_quality":null,"production_outcomes":0,"last_outcome_at":null,"label":"No agent outcome data yet"},"auto_install":{"allowed":false,"sandbox_required":true,"reason":"Human review or sandbox validation is required before automatic installation."},"best_for":["data-analysis","agent-skill"],"known_risks":["The SKILL.md excerpt is truncated, but the available content indicates a well-structured and complete skill.","Financial research output is not financial advice; require human review before any live investment decision.","Quality score needs review"]},"agent_proven":{"version":"agent-proven-v1","score":0,"tier":"unproven","label":"Needs first agent run","summary":"No agent outcome reports yet. Use Resolve, run one narrow sandbox task, then report the result.","metrics":{"totalOutcomes":0,"successfulOutcomes":0,"failedOutcomes":0,"installAttempts":0,"installSuccessRate":null,"successRate":null,"recentSuccessRate":null,"recentFailureRate":null,"riskBlocked":0,"setupRequired":0,"notRelevant":0,"avgOutputQuality":null,"avgTimeToUsefulMs":null,"productionOutcomes":0,"humanReviewRequired":0,"uniqueAgents":0,"lastOutcomeAt":null},"signals":[],"penalties":["No real agent outcome evidence yet"]},"audit":{"score":85,"risk_level":"needs_review","risk_label":"Needs review","warnings":["Financial research output is not financial advice; require human review before any live investment decision","The SKILL.md excerpt is truncated, but the available content indicates a well-structured and complete skill.","No critical security risks identified; the skill relies on web_search for data collection and does not execute arbitrary code or access sensitive resources.","Financial research output is not financial advice; require human review before any live investment decision.","Quality score needs review"]},"safety_gate":{"tier":"reviewed","label":"Reviewed with permission notes","auto_install_policy":"review","auto_install_allowed":false,"human_review_required":true,"blocked":false,"recommended_action":"Require human approval before installing into a real workspace."},"quality":{"score":82,"label":"Strong"},"supply":{"track":"Data, BI, and analytics","scenario":"Data analysis","maintenance":"5d since push","risk":"Needs review"},"alternative_skills":[],"do_not_use_when":["teams that need a vendor-supported SLA","production agents without a repository review","The SKILL.md excerpt is truncated, but the available content indicates a well-structured and complete skill.","No OpenAgentSkill engagement data yet","Financial research output is not financial advice; require human review before any live investment decision","No critical security risks identified; the skill relies on web_search for data collection and does not execute arbitrary code or access sensitive resources.","Financial research output is not financial advice; require human review before any live investment decision.","Quality score needs review"],"agent_contract":{"task_input":"Use us-market-bubble-detector in an agent workflow","recommended_action":"Require human approval before installing into a real workspace.","install_policy":"review","minimum_review_before_use":["Trust: 79/100 Strong shortlist","Audit: 85/100 Needs review","Safety: 69/100 Review before install","Review repository, license, install command, and permission surface before production use."],"expected_agent_output":{"selected_skill":"tradermonty-us-market-bubble-detector (us-market-bubble-detector)","install_command":"npx skills add tradermonty/claude-trading-skills --skill us-market-bubble-detector","risk_summary":"Needs review; Reviewed with permission notes; Review before production","verification_result":"Report the smallest successful task, files touched, warnings, and any missing setup."}},"outcome_feedback":{"endpoint":"https://www.openagentskill.com/api/agent/outcome","method":"POST","requires_resolve_event_id":true,"event_id_source":"Use install_receipt.outcome_feedback.event_id or feedback.event_id returned by /api/agent/resolve for the current task.","expected_outcomes":["success","failed","not_relevant","blocked_by_risk","setup_required"],"payload_template":{"event_id":"<install_receipt.outcome_feedback.event_id or feedback.event_id from /api/agent/resolve>","skill_slug":"tradermonty-us-market-bubble-detector","task":"Use us-market-bubble-detector in an agent workflow","agent":"codex","outcome":"success","install_used":true,"risk_blocked":false,"setup_required":false,"task_success":true,"output_quality":4,"error_type":null,"human_review_required":false,"workspace":"sandbox","time_to_useful_ms":120000,"notes":"Report the smallest successful task, setup friction, files touched, and risk notes."}},"endpoints":{"web":"https://www.openagentskill.com/skills/tradermonty-us-market-bubble-detector","api":"https://www.openagentskill.com/api/agent/skills/tradermonty-us-market-bubble-detector","audit":"https://www.openagentskill.com/skills/tradermonty-us-market-bubble-detector/audit","eval":"https://www.openagentskill.com/api/agent/evals?slug=tradermonty-us-market-bubble-detector&task=Use%20us-market-bubble-detector%20in%20an%20agent%20workflow&max_risk=medium","resolve":"https://www.openagentskill.com/api/agent/resolve?task=Use%20us-market-bubble-detector%20in%20an%20agent%20workflow&agent=codex&max_risk=medium","receipt":"https://www.openagentskill.com/api/agent/receipt?task=Use%20us-market-bubble-detector%20in%20an%20agent%20workflow&agent=codex&max_risk=medium&format=text","install":"https://www.openagentskill.com/api/skills/tradermonty-us-market-bubble-detector/install","manifest":"https://www.openagentskill.com/api/registry/manifest/tradermonty-us-market-bubble-detector"}},"machine_metadata":{"version":"openagentskill-agent-metadata-v2","skill":{"slug":"tradermonty-us-market-bubble-detector","name":"us-market-bubble-detector","description":"Evaluates market bubble risk through quantitative data-driven analysis using the revised Minsky/Kindleberger framework v2.1. Prioritizes objective metrics (Put/Call, VIX, margin debt, breadth, IPO data) over subjective impressions. Features strict qualitative adjustment criteria with confirmation bias prevention. Supports practical investment decisions with mandatory data collection and mechanical scoring. Use when user asks about bubble risk, valuation concerns, or profit-taking timing.","category":"data-analysis","url":"https://www.openagentskill.com/skills/tradermonty-us-market-bubble-detector","repository":"https://github.com/tradermonty/claude-trading-skills/tree/main/examples/weekly-trade-strategy/.claude/skills/us-market-bubble-detector","github_repo":"tradermonty/claude-trading-skills"},"suited_tasks":["Finance and quant workflows","Claude Code teams","teams that value GitHub adoption signals","Retrieve market data","Compare financial signals","Generate investor-ready analysis","Search sources","Extract claims"],"suited_agents":["Codex","Claude Code","Cursor","OpenAgentSkill CLI","CLI"],"install":{"command":"npx skills add tradermonty/claude-trading-skills --skill us-market-bubble-detector","ready":true,"targets":[{"id":"openagentskill-cli","label":"CLI","kind":"command","value":"npx --yes https://github.com/Leon-Drq/openagentskill/releases/download/cli-v0.3.0/openagentskill-0.3.0.tgz add tradermonty-us-market-bubble-detector"},{"id":"codex","label":"Codex","kind":"agent-prompt","value":"Install the \"us-market-bubble-detector\" agent skill from https://github.com/tradermonty/claude-trading-skills/tree/main/examples/weekly-trade-strategy/.claude/skills/us-market-bubble-detector. Read its SKILL.md or equivalent instructions first, install only the files needed for this workspace, and summarize any required setup before using it. Skill purpose: Evaluates market bubble risk through quantitative data-driven analysis using the revised Minsky/Kindleberger framework v2.1. Prioritizes objective metrics (Put/Call, VIX, margin debt, breadth, IPO data) over subjective impressions. Features strict qualitative adjustment criteria with confirmation bias prevention. Supports practical investment decisions with mandatory data collection and mechanical scoring. Use when user asks about bubble risk, valuation concerns, or profit-taking timing. After the install attempt, report the result to https://www.openagentskill.com/api/agent/outcome with POST JSON {\"event_id\":\"install_<unique-id>\",\"skill_slug\":\"tradermonty-us-market-bubble-detector\",\"task\":\"Install us-market-bubble-detector\",\"agent\":\"codex\",\"outcome\":\"success\",\"install_used\":true}. Replace event_id with a unique value and outcome with success or failed. Report success only after the skill is installed and a minimal verification passes."},{"id":"claude-code","label":"Claude Code","kind":"agent-prompt","value":"Add \"us-market-bubble-detector\" as a Claude Code skill from https://github.com/tradermonty/claude-trading-skills/tree/main/examples/weekly-trade-strategy/.claude/skills/us-market-bubble-detector. Inspect the skill instructions, place the reusable skill files in the appropriate local skills location for this project, and report the activation steps. Skill purpose: Evaluates market bubble risk through quantitative data-driven analysis using the revised Minsky/Kindleberger framework v2.1. Prioritizes objective metrics (Put/Call, VIX, margin debt, breadth, IPO data) over subjective impressions. Features strict qualitative adjustment criteria with confirmation bias prevention. Supports practical investment decisions with mandatory data collection and mechanical scoring. Use when user asks about bubble risk, valuation concerns, or profit-taking timing. After the install attempt, report the result to https://www.openagentskill.com/api/agent/outcome with POST JSON {\"event_id\":\"install_<unique-id>\",\"skill_slug\":\"tradermonty-us-market-bubble-detector\",\"task\":\"Install us-market-bubble-detector\",\"agent\":\"claude-code\",\"outcome\":\"success\",\"install_used\":true}. Replace event_id with a unique value and outcome with success or failed. Report success only after the skill is installed and a minimal verification passes."},{"id":"cursor","label":"Cursor","kind":"agent-prompt","value":"Turn \"us-market-bubble-detector\" from https://github.com/tradermonty/claude-trading-skills/tree/main/examples/weekly-trade-strategy/.claude/skills/us-market-bubble-detector into a reusable Cursor project rule or agent instruction. Preserve the core workflow, adapt paths to this repo, and keep the rule scoped to tasks where it is relevant. Skill purpose: Evaluates market bubble risk through quantitative data-driven analysis using the revised Minsky/Kindleberger framework v2.1. Prioritizes objective metrics (Put/Call, VIX, margin debt, breadth, IPO data) over subjective impressions. Features strict qualitative adjustment criteria with confirmation bias prevention. Supports practical investment decisions with mandatory data collection and mechanical scoring. Use when user asks about bubble risk, valuation concerns, or profit-taking timing. After the install attempt, report the result to https://www.openagentskill.com/api/agent/outcome with POST JSON {\"event_id\":\"install_<unique-id>\",\"skill_slug\":\"tradermonty-us-market-bubble-detector\",\"task\":\"Install us-market-bubble-detector\",\"agent\":\"cursor\",\"outcome\":\"success\",\"install_used\":true}. Replace event_id with a unique value and outcome with success or failed. Report success only after the skill is installed and a minimal verification passes."}],"handoff_url":"https://www.openagentskill.com/api/skills/tradermonty-us-market-bubble-detector/install","manifest_url":"https://www.openagentskill.com/api/registry/manifest/tradermonty-us-market-bubble-detector"},"trust":{"score":79,"label":"Strong shortlist","version":"trust-score-v4","install_policy":"human_review_before_install","evidence":{"stars":"2.8K GitHub stars","repoActivity":"2.8K stars, 633 forks","lastPushed":"5d since push","license":"MIT","repository":"https://github.com/tradermonty/claude-trading-skills/tree/main/examples/weekly-trade-strategy/.claude/skills/us-market-bubble-detector","install":"npx skills add tradermonty/claude-trading-skills --skill us-market-bubble-detector","installSafety":"standard package or runtime install path","permissionSurface":"filesystem or document access","documentation":"Strong README/SKILL.md context","agentOutcomes":"No agent outcome data yet"},"outcome_evidence":{"total":0,"successes":0,"failures":0,"not_relevant":0,"success_rate":null,"recent_success_rate":null,"recent_failure_rate":null,"install_attempts":0,"install_success_rate":null,"risk_blocked":0,"setup_required":0,"avg_output_quality":null,"production_outcomes":0,"last_outcome_at":null,"label":"No agent outcome data yet"},"auto_install":{"allowed":false,"sandbox_required":true,"reason":"Human review or sandbox validation is required before automatic installation."},"best_for":["data-analysis","agent-skill"],"known_risks":["The SKILL.md excerpt is truncated, but the available content indicates a well-structured and complete skill.","Financial research output is not financial advice; require human review before any live investment decision.","Quality score needs review"]},"agent_proven":{"version":"agent-proven-v1","score":0,"tier":"unproven","label":"Needs first agent run","summary":"No agent outcome reports yet. Use Resolve, run one narrow sandbox task, then report the result.","metrics":{"totalOutcomes":0,"successfulOutcomes":0,"failedOutcomes":0,"installAttempts":0,"installSuccessRate":null,"successRate":null,"recentSuccessRate":null,"recentFailureRate":null,"riskBlocked":0,"setupRequired":0,"notRelevant":0,"avgOutputQuality":null,"avgTimeToUsefulMs":null,"productionOutcomes":0,"humanReviewRequired":0,"uniqueAgents":0,"lastOutcomeAt":null},"signals":[],"penalties":["No real agent outcome evidence yet"]},"audit":{"score":85,"risk_level":"needs_review","risk_label":"Needs review","warnings":["Financial research output is not financial advice; require human review before any live investment decision","The SKILL.md excerpt is truncated, but the available content indicates a well-structured and complete skill.","No critical security risks identified; the skill relies on web_search for data collection and does not execute arbitrary code or access sensitive resources.","Financial research output is not financial advice; require human review before any live investment decision.","Quality score needs review"]},"safety_gate":{"tier":"reviewed","label":"Reviewed with permission notes","auto_install_policy":"review","auto_install_allowed":false,"human_review_required":true,"blocked":false,"recommended_action":"Require human approval before installing into a real workspace."},"quality":{"score":82,"label":"Strong"},"supply":{"track":"Data, BI, and analytics","scenario":"Data analysis","maintenance":"5d since push","risk":"Needs review"},"alternative_skills":[],"do_not_use_when":["teams that need a vendor-supported SLA","production agents without a repository review","The SKILL.md excerpt is truncated, but the available content indicates a well-structured and complete skill.","No OpenAgentSkill engagement data yet","Financial research output is not financial advice; require human review before any live investment decision","No critical security risks identified; the skill relies on web_search for data collection and does not execute arbitrary code or access sensitive resources.","Financial research output is not financial advice; require human review before any live investment decision.","Quality score needs review"],"agent_contract":{"task_input":"Use us-market-bubble-detector in an agent workflow","recommended_action":"Require human approval before installing into a real workspace.","install_policy":"review","minimum_review_before_use":["Trust: 79/100 Strong shortlist","Audit: 85/100 Needs review","Safety: 69/100 Review before install","Review repository, license, install command, and permission surface before production use."],"expected_agent_output":{"selected_skill":"tradermonty-us-market-bubble-detector (us-market-bubble-detector)","install_command":"npx skills add tradermonty/claude-trading-skills --skill us-market-bubble-detector","risk_summary":"Needs review; Reviewed with permission notes; Review before production","verification_result":"Report the smallest successful task, files touched, warnings, and any missing setup."}},"outcome_feedback":{"endpoint":"https://www.openagentskill.com/api/agent/outcome","method":"POST","requires_resolve_event_id":true,"event_id_source":"Use install_receipt.outcome_feedback.event_id or feedback.event_id returned by /api/agent/resolve for the current task.","expected_outcomes":["success","failed","not_relevant","blocked_by_risk","setup_required"],"payload_template":{"event_id":"<install_receipt.outcome_feedback.event_id or feedback.event_id from /api/agent/resolve>","skill_slug":"tradermonty-us-market-bubble-detector","task":"Use us-market-bubble-detector in an agent workflow","agent":"codex","outcome":"success","install_used":true,"risk_blocked":false,"setup_required":false,"task_success":true,"output_quality":4,"error_type":null,"human_review_required":false,"workspace":"sandbox","time_to_useful_ms":120000,"notes":"Report the smallest successful task, setup friction, files touched, and risk notes."}},"endpoints":{"web":"https://www.openagentskill.com/skills/tradermonty-us-market-bubble-detector","api":"https://www.openagentskill.com/api/agent/skills/tradermonty-us-market-bubble-detector","audit":"https://www.openagentskill.com/skills/tradermonty-us-market-bubble-detector/audit","eval":"https://www.openagentskill.com/api/agent/evals?slug=tradermonty-us-market-bubble-detector&task=Use%20us-market-bubble-detector%20in%20an%20agent%20workflow&max_risk=medium","resolve":"https://www.openagentskill.com/api/agent/resolve?task=Use%20us-market-bubble-detector%20in%20an%20agent%20workflow&agent=codex&max_risk=medium","receipt":"https://www.openagentskill.com/api/agent/receipt?task=Use%20us-market-bubble-detector%20in%20an%20agent%20workflow&agent=codex&max_risk=medium&format=text","install":"https://www.openagentskill.com/api/skills/tradermonty-us-market-bubble-detector/install","manifest":"https://www.openagentskill.com/api/registry/manifest/tradermonty-us-market-bubble-detector"}},"supply_profile":{"track":{"slug":"data","label":"Data, BI, and analytics","shortLabel":"Data","description":"CSV, SQL, notebooks, dashboards, data pipelines, BI, ETL, and spreadsheet analysis."},"scenario":{"label":"Data analysis","description":"I need my agent to analyze CSV data, produce insights, and explain trends.","useCases":[{"slug":"finance-quant","title":"Finance and quant"},{"slug":"research-agents","title":"Research agents"},{"slug":"rag-knowledge","title":"RAG and knowledge"}]},"applicableAgents":["Claude Code","Cursor","CLI","Codex"],"install":{"ready":true,"command":"npx skills add tradermonty/claude-trading-skills --skill us-market-bubble-detector","primaryTarget":"CLI","targetCount":4},"githubQuality":{"stars":2761,"starsLabel":"2.8K","forks":633,"license":"MIT","qualityScore":82,"trustScore":79,"auditScore":85},"maintenance":{"status":"fresh","label":"5d since push","daysSincePush":5,"lastPushedAt":"2026-09-01T16:08:01+00:00"},"risk":{"level":"needs_review","label":"Needs review","requiresReview":true,"notes":["Financial research output is not financial advice; require human review before any live investment decision","The SKILL.md excerpt is truncated, but the available content indicates a well-structured and complete skill.","No critical security risks identified; the skill relies on web_search for data collection and does not execute arbitrary code or access sensitive resources.","Financial research output is not financial advice; require human review before any live investment decision.","Quality score needs review"]},"coverageTags":["Data","Data analysis","data-analysis","agent-skill"]},"audit":{"audit_score":85,"risk_level":"needs_review","risk_label":"Needs review","quality_score":82,"trust_score":79,"maintenance_score":100,"security_score":83,"install_score":92,"warnings":["Financial research output is not financial advice; require human review before any live investment decision","The SKILL.md excerpt is truncated, but the available content indicates a well-structured and complete skill.","No critical security risks identified; the skill relies on web_search for data collection and does not execute arbitrary code or access sensitive resources.","Financial research output is not financial advice; require human review before any live investment decision.","Quality score needs review"]},"quality_signals":{"model":"v2","star_score":24.09,"usage_score":0,"review_score":5.4,"metadata_score":3,"freshness_score":15},"platforms":["Claude Code","Cursor"],"use_cases":[{"slug":"finance-quant","title":"Finance and quant","url":"https://www.openagentskill.com/use-cases/finance-quant"},{"slug":"research-agents","title":"Research agents","url":"https://www.openagentskill.com/use-cases/research-agents"},{"slug":"rag-knowledge","title":"RAG and knowledge","url":"https://www.openagentskill.com/use-cases/rag-knowledge"},{"slug":"browser-automation","title":"Browser automation","url":"https://www.openagentskill.com/use-cases/browser-automation"}],"stacks":[{"slug":"research-report-agent","title":"Research report agent","url":"https://www.openagentskill.com/collections/research-report-agent"},{"slug":"rag-knowledge-base","title":"RAG knowledge base","url":"https://www.openagentskill.com/collections/rag-knowledge-base"},{"slug":"browser-qa-agent","title":"Browser QA agent","url":"https://www.openagentskill.com/collections/browser-qa-agent"}],"install":"npx skills add tradermonty/claude-trading-skills --skill us-market-bubble-detector","install_targets":[{"id":"openagentskill-cli","label":"CLI","title":"OpenAgentSkill CLI","kind":"command","value":"npx --yes https://github.com/Leon-Drq/openagentskill/releases/download/cli-v0.3.0/openagentskill-0.3.0.tgz add tradermonty-us-market-bubble-detector","description":"Resolve policy, run the source installer safely, and report a verified install receipt.","copyLabel":"Copy command"},{"id":"codex","label":"Codex","title":"Codex install prompt","kind":"agent-prompt","value":"Install the \"us-market-bubble-detector\" agent skill from https://github.com/tradermonty/claude-trading-skills/tree/main/examples/weekly-trade-strategy/.claude/skills/us-market-bubble-detector. Read its SKILL.md or equivalent instructions first, install only the files needed for this workspace, and summarize any required setup before using it. Skill purpose: Evaluates market bubble risk through quantitative data-driven analysis using the revised Minsky/Kindleberger framework v2.1. Prioritizes objective metrics (Put/Call, VIX, margin debt, breadth, IPO data) over subjective impressions. Features strict qualitative adjustment criteria with confirmation bias prevention. Supports practical investment decisions with mandatory data collection and mechanical scoring. Use when user asks about bubble risk, valuation concerns, or profit-taking timing. After the install attempt, report the result to https://www.openagentskill.com/api/agent/outcome with POST JSON {\"event_id\":\"install_<unique-id>\",\"skill_slug\":\"tradermonty-us-market-bubble-detector\",\"task\":\"Install us-market-bubble-detector\",\"agent\":\"codex\",\"outcome\":\"success\",\"install_used\":true}. Replace event_id with a unique value and outcome with success or failed. Report success only after the skill is installed and a minimal verification passes.","description":"Give Codex a repo-aware install prompt when the skill is not available through a local CLI.","copyLabel":"Copy prompt"},{"id":"claude-code","label":"Claude Code","title":"Claude Code skill prompt","kind":"agent-prompt","value":"Add \"us-market-bubble-detector\" as a Claude Code skill from https://github.com/tradermonty/claude-trading-skills/tree/main/examples/weekly-trade-strategy/.claude/skills/us-market-bubble-detector. Inspect the skill instructions, place the reusable skill files in the appropriate local skills location for this project, and report the activation steps. Skill purpose: Evaluates market bubble risk through quantitative data-driven analysis using the revised Minsky/Kindleberger framework v2.1. Prioritizes objective metrics (Put/Call, VIX, margin debt, breadth, IPO data) over subjective impressions. Features strict qualitative adjustment criteria with confirmation bias prevention. Supports practical investment decisions with mandatory data collection and mechanical scoring. Use when user asks about bubble risk, valuation concerns, or profit-taking timing. After the install attempt, report the result to https://www.openagentskill.com/api/agent/outcome with POST JSON {\"event_id\":\"install_<unique-id>\",\"skill_slug\":\"tradermonty-us-market-bubble-detector\",\"task\":\"Install us-market-bubble-detector\",\"agent\":\"claude-code\",\"outcome\":\"success\",\"install_used\":true}. Replace event_id with a unique value and outcome with success or failed. Report success only after the skill is installed and a minimal verification passes.","description":"Use this prompt to ask Claude Code to add the skill and explain the local activation steps.","copyLabel":"Copy prompt"},{"id":"cursor","label":"Cursor","title":"Cursor rule prompt","kind":"agent-prompt","value":"Turn \"us-market-bubble-detector\" from https://github.com/tradermonty/claude-trading-skills/tree/main/examples/weekly-trade-strategy/.claude/skills/us-market-bubble-detector into a reusable Cursor project rule or agent instruction. Preserve the core workflow, adapt paths to this repo, and keep the rule scoped to tasks where it is relevant. Skill purpose: Evaluates market bubble risk through quantitative data-driven analysis using the revised Minsky/Kindleberger framework v2.1. Prioritizes objective metrics (Put/Call, VIX, margin debt, breadth, IPO data) over subjective impressions. Features strict qualitative adjustment criteria with confirmation bias prevention. Supports practical investment decisions with mandatory data collection and mechanical scoring. Use when user asks about bubble risk, valuation concerns, or profit-taking timing. After the install attempt, report the result to https://www.openagentskill.com/api/agent/outcome with POST JSON {\"event_id\":\"install_<unique-id>\",\"skill_slug\":\"tradermonty-us-market-bubble-detector\",\"task\":\"Install us-market-bubble-detector\",\"agent\":\"cursor\",\"outcome\":\"success\",\"install_used\":true}. Replace event_id with a unique value and outcome with success or failed. Report success only after the skill is installed and a minimal verification passes.","description":"Use this when installing as Cursor project rules or reusable agent instructions.","copyLabel":"Copy prompt"}],"repository":"https://github.com/tradermonty/claude-trading-skills/tree/main/examples/weekly-trade-strategy/.claude/skills/us-market-bubble-detector","github_repo":"tradermonty/claude-trading-skills","version":"1.0.0","license":"MIT","urls":{"web":"https://www.openagentskill.com/skills/tradermonty-us-market-bubble-detector","repository":"https://github.com/tradermonty/claude-trading-skills/tree/main/examples/weekly-trade-strategy/.claude/skills/us-market-bubble-detector","api":"/api/agent/skills/tradermonty-us-market-bubble-detector","install_api":"/api/skills/tradermonty-us-market-bubble-detector/install"},"meta":{"created_at":"2026-09-02T18:55:57.859211+00:00","updated_at":"2026-09-02T18:55:57.968236+00:00","agent_friendly":true}}