{"slug":"komako-workshop-digital-oracle","name":"digital-oracle","description":"Answer prediction questions using market trading data, not opinions. Use when the user asks probability questions about geopolitics, economics, markets, industries, or any topic where real money is being traded on the outcome. Examples: 'What's the probability of WW3?', 'Will there be a recession?', 'Is AI in a bubble?', 'When will the Russia-Ukraine war end?', 'Is it a good time to buy gold?', 'Will SPY drop 5% this month?', 'Is NVDA options premium overpriced?'. The skill reads prices from prediction markets, commodities, equities, options chains, derivatives, yield curves, and currencies, then cross-validates multiple signals to produce a structured probability report.","long_description":"---\nname: digital-oracle\nversion: 1.0.3\ndescription: \"Answer prediction questions using market trading data, not opinions. Use when the user asks probability questions about geopolitics, economics, markets, industries, or any topic where real money is being traded on the outcome. Examples: 'What's the probability of WW3?', 'Will there be a recession?', 'Is AI in a bubble?', 'When will the Russia-Ukraine war end?', 'Is it a good time to buy gold?', 'Will SPY drop 5% this month?', 'Is NVDA options premium overpriced?'. The skill reads prices from prediction markets, commodities, equities, options chains, derivatives, yield curves, and currencies, then cross-validates multiple signals to produce a structured probability report.\"\nmetadata: { \"openclaw\": { \"emoji\": \"πŸ“ˆ\", \"requires\": { \"bins\": [\"uv\"] } } }\n---\n\n# digital-oracle\n\n> Markets are efficient. Price contains all public information. Reading price = reading market consensus.\n\n## Methodology\n\n**Answer questions using only market trading data β€” no news, opinions, or statistical reports as causal evidence.** If something is true, some market has already priced it in.\n\nFive iron rules:\n\n1. **Trading data only** β€” prices, volume, open interest, spreads, premiums. Never cite analyst opinions.\n2. **Explicit reasoning from price to judgment** β€” explain clearly \"why this price answers this question.\"\n3. **Multi-signal cross-validation** β€” never conclude from a single signal. At least 3 independent dimensions.\n4. **Label the time horizon of each signal** β€” options price 3 months, equipment orders price 3 years β€” don't mix them in the same vote.\n5. **Structured output** β€” the final report must follow the Step 5 template: layered signal tables β†’ contradiction analysis β†’ probability scenarios β†’ signal consistency assessment. Do not substitute prose for structured reporting.\n\n## Workflow\n\n### Step 1: Understand the question\n\nDecompose the user's question into:\n- **Core variable**: What event or trend?\n- **Time window**: Is the user asking about 3 months, 1 year, or 5 years?\n- **Priceability**: Is there real money being traded on this outcome?\n\n### Step 2: Select signals\n\nBased on question type, select from the signal menu below. **Don't use just one category β€” cover at least 3.**\n\n#### Geopolitical conflict / War risk\n- Polymarket: Search for related event contracts (ceasefire, invasion, regime change, declaration of war)\n- Kalshi: Search for related binary contracts\n- Safe-haven assets: Gold (GC=F), silver (SI=F), Swiss franc (USDCHF=X)\n- Conflict proxies: Crude oil (CL=F), natural gas (NG=F), wheat (ZW=F), defense ETF (ITA), defense stocks\n- Risk ratios: Copper/Gold ratio (risk-off indicator), Gold/Silver ratio\n- CFTC COT: Institutional positioning changes in crude/gold/wheat (which direction is smart money betting)\n- BIS: Central bank policy rate trends in relevant countries\n- FearGreedProvider: CNN Fear & Greed Index (composite of 7 price signals)\n- Web search: VIX, MOVE index, sovereign CDS, war risk premiums, BDI freight rates, high-yield OAS\n- Currencies: Currency pairs of relevant countries (e.g. USDRUB=X, USDCNY=X)\n- Country ETFs: Asset flows in relevant countries (e.g. FXI, EWY)\n\n#### Economic recession / Macro cycle\n- Treasury: Yield curve shape (10Y-2Y spread, 10Y-3M spread), real rates, breakeven inflation\n- YahooPriceProvider: SPY, copper (HG=F), crude oil (CL=F), price trends\n- Risk ratios: Copper/Gold ratio\n- CFTC COT: Speculative net positions in copper/crude (is managed money bullish or bearish)\n- BIS: Credit-to-GDP gap (credit overheating = late cycle), policy rate directions\n- World Bank: GDP growth rate historical trends, cross-country comparisons\n- Deribit: BTC futures basis (risk appetite proxy)\n- CoinGecko: Crypto total market cap + BTC dominance (risk appetite proxy)\n- FearGreedProvider: CNN Fear & Greed Index (7 price signals composite β†’ 0-100)\n- Kalshi `KXFED` series: FOMC rate-decision contracts. (Use this for the rate path β€” CMEFedWatchProvider is currently 403-blocked by CME's bot protection from every host tested.)\n- Polymarket: Recession-related contracts, central bank rate path\n- Currencies: DXY/dollar strength, emerging market currencies\n- Web search: High-yield bond spread (HY OAS), TED spread, MOVE index, TTF gas, BDI freight rates\n\n#### Industry cycle / Bubble assessment\n- YahooPriceProvider: Industry leader stock trends, sector ETFs\n- Find the industry's \"single-purpose commodity\" (e.g. GPU rental price β†’ AI, rebar β†’ construction)\n- Upstream equipment maker orders/stock price (e.g. ASML β†’ semiconductors)\n- Leader company valuation discount (e.g. TSMC vs peers β†’ Taiwan Strait risk pricing)\n- EDGAR: Industry leader insider trading cadence (Form 4) β€” concentrated selling = bearish signal\n- CFTC COT: Institutional positioning changes in related commodities\n- CoinGecko: For crypto industry, look at BTC/ETH/altcoin market cap distribution\n- Web search: VC funding concentration, leveraged ETF concentration, margin debt levels\n- Deribit: Implied volatility of related crypto assets\n\n#### Asset pricing / Whether to buy\n- YahooPriceProvider: Target asset price trend (daily/weekly/monthly)\n- Relative price changes of correlated assets (divergence between two commodities = structural signal)\n- Treasury: Risk-free rate as valuation anchor\n- YFinance: Options chain (IV, put/call ratio, max pain, Greeks, implied move)\n- EDGAR: Insider selling cadence (heavy Form 4 selling = insiders bearish)\n- CFTC COT: Speculative vs commercial net position divergence for commodity assets\n- CoinGecko: For crypto assets, check market cap, ATH/ATL distance, 24h volatility\n- Deribit: Crypto options chain (implied volatility = market's expected range)\n- Polymarket/Kalshi: Probability pricing of related events\n- FearGreedProvider: CNN Fear & Greed composite score (momentum, breadth, VIX, put/call, junk bond demand, volatility, safe haven)\n- Web search: VIX, corporate bond issuance volume, analyst rating distribution\n\n#### Stock/Options analysis / Crash probability\n- YFinance: Options chain β†’ ATM IV (expected volatility), IV skew (upside/downside fear asymmetry), put/call ratio (bull/bear sentiment), max pain (market maker profit zone), implied move (expected price range), Greeks (delta β‰ˆ ITM probability)\n- YahooPriceProvider: Underlying historical price β†’ realized volatility (compare vs implied volatility to judge options premium)\n- Kalshi: SPY/NASDAQ price range markets β†’ direct probability pricing\n- CFTC COT: S&P 500/VIX futures positioning β†’ institutional direction\n- Defensive rotation: XLY (cyclical) vs XLP (defensive) vs XLU (utilities) relative performance β†’ market defensiveness\n- Treasury: Yield curve shape β†’ recession signal\n- FearGreedProvider: CNN Fear & Greed Index\n- Web search: VIX level, margin debt level, leveraged ETF concentration\n\n#### China A-share: individual stock / ETF / sector\nMainland listings are quoted in CNY on exchanges no US venue prices, so the usual\nPolymarket/Kalshi/CFTC layer has nothing to say about them. Route these to Eastmoney.\n\n- Eastmoney `get_quote`: Live quote for a 6-digit code β†’ last, change %, turnover rate, PE(TTM), PB, market cap. Pass the bare code (`600519`, `000977`) β€” `to_secid` resolves the exchange.\n- Eastmoney `get_fund_flow`: **The signal with actual skin in the game.** Daily net inflow split by order size β€” extra-large / large (together = δΈ»εŠ›, institutional) vs medium / small (retail). Institutions buying while retail sells is a different tape than the reverse, and price alone cannot show it.\n- Eastmoney `list_sector_fund_flow`: Industry or concept boards ranked by institutional net inflow β†’ which sector money is rotating into. Answers \"which sector is seeing inflows\" directly.\n- Eastmoney `get_history`: OHLCV with forward adjustment (`adjust=\"forward\"`) β†’ realized volatility, trend, volume confirmation.\n- YahooPriceProvider: Same listings via `600519.SS` / `000977.SZ` suffixes β€” useful as a cross-check, and the only way to put an A-share on the same axis as a US comparable.\n- FXI / USDCNY=X: Foreign risk appetite toward Chinese assets and capital-flow direction β€” the offshore view on the same question.\n- Sector read-through: For semiconductors / AI hardware, cross-check US comparables (NVDA, AMD, SOXX) since the supply chain is shared.\n\nTwo cautions. Eastmoney publishes fund flow **after the close**, so intraday questions get yesterday's tape. And no prediction market prices Chinese single names β€” if the user wants a probability, it has to be reasoned from positioning and volatility, not looked up.\n\n**Available trading symbols directory:** See [references/symbols.md](references/symbols.md)\n**Provider API reference:** See [references/providers.md](references/providers.md)\n\n### Step 3: Signal routing\n\nBefore fetching data, evaluate each candidate signal from Step 2 against three criteria:\n\n1. **Relevance**: Can this signal actually answer the user's specific question? (e.g., asking about Taiwan β†’ skip CoinGecko)\n2. **Time match**: Does the signal's pricing horizon match the question's time window? (e.g., asking about 3 months β†’ skip World Bank GDP which lags 1-2 years)\n3. **Information increment**: Does this signal provide an independent perspective not already covered by other signals? Avoid redundancy, keep complementary signals.\n\nOnly keep signals that pass all three checks. This reduces noise, saves fetch time, and produces cleaner analysis.\n\n### Step 4: Fetch data\n\nUse digital-oracle's Python providers to fetch structured data, calling all sources in parallel with `gather()` (including web search):\n\n```python\nfrom digital_oracle import (\n PolymarketProvider, PolymarketEventQuery,\n KalshiProvider, KalshiMarketQuery,\n YahooPriceProvider, PriceHistoryQuery, # requires uv pip install yfinance\n DeribitProvider, DeribitFuturesCurveQuery,\n USTreasuryProvider, YieldCurveQuery,\n WebSearchProvider,\n CftcCotProvider, CftcCotQuery,\n CoinGeckoProvider, CoinGeckoPriceQuery,\n EdgarProvider, EdgarInsiderQuery,\n BisProvider, BisRateQuery,\n WorldBankProvider, WorldBankQuery,\n YFinanceProvider, OptionsChainQuery, # requires uv pip install yfinance\n FearGreedProvider,\n EastmoneyProvider, EastmoneyQuoteQuery, EastmoneyKlineQuery,\n EastmoneyFundFlowQuery, EastmoneySectorFlowQuery,\n gather,\n)\n\npm = PolymarketProvider()\nkalshi = KalshiProvider()\nyahoo = YahooPriceProvider() # requires uv pip install yfinance\nderibit = DeribitProvider()\ntreasury = USTreasuryProvider()\nweb = WebSearchProvider()\ncftc = CftcCotProvider()\ncoingecko = CoinGeckoProvider()\nedgar = EdgarProvider() # set EDGAR_USER_EMAIL to identify yourself to SEC; a contact is required or it 403s\nbis = BisProvider()\nwb = WorldBankProvider()\nyf = YFinanceProvider() # requires uv pip install yfinance\nfear_greed = FearGreedProvider()\neastmoney = EastmoneyProvider() # China A-share: quotes, OHLCV, fund flow, sector rotation\n\nresult = gather({\n \"pm_events\": lambda: pm.list_events(PolymarketEventQuery(slug_contains=\"...\", limit=10)),\n \"yield_curve\": lambda: treasury.latest_yield_curve(),\n \"gold\": lambda: yahoo.get_history(PriceHistoryQuery(symbol=\"GC=F\", limit=30)),\n # Institutional positioning\n \"gold_cot\": lambda: cftc.list_reports(CftcCotQuery(commodity_name=\"GOLD\", limit=4)),\n # Crypto market sentiment\n \"crypto\": lambda: coingecko.get_prices(CoinGeckoPriceQuery(coin_ids=(\"bitcoin\", \"ethereum\"))),\n # Insider trades\n \"insider\": lambda: edgar.get_insider_transactions(EdgarInsiderQuery(ticker=\"AAPL\", limit=10)),\n # Central bank policy rates\n \"rates\": lambda: bis.get_policy_rates(BisRateQuery(countries=(\"US\", \"CN\"), start_year=2023)),\n # GDP data\n \"gdp\": lambda: wb.get_indicator(WorldBankQuery(indicator=\"NY.GDP.MKTP.CD\", countries=(\"US\", \"CN\"))),\n # BTC futures term structure (risk appetite proxy)\n \"btc_futures\": lambda: deribit.get_futures_term_structure(DeribitFuturesCurveQuery(currency=\"BTC\")),\n # Kalshi event markets (use event_ticker or ","tagline":"Answer prediction questions using market trading data, not opinions. Use when the user asks probability questions about geopolitics, economics, markets, industries, or any topic where real money is being traded on the outcome. Examples: 'What's the probability of WW3?', 'Will the","category":"design-creative","tags":["agent-skill"],"author":"komako-workshop","verified":false,"attribution":{"status":"registry_indexed","statusLabel":"Registry indexed","shortLabel":"REGISTRY INDEXED","sourceLabel":"github candidate review","sourceDetail":"komako-workshop/digital-oracle","creatorName":"komako-workshop","creatorUrl":"https://github.com/komako-workshop","sourceUrl":"https://github.com/komako-workshop/digital-oracle/blob/main/SKILL.md","indexedBy":"OpenAgentSkill community index","claimUrl":"https://www.openagentskill.com/skills/komako-workshop-digital-oracle#claim-this-skill","claimCta":"Claim this skill","trustNote":"This listing was indexed from public sources and is not marked official until a maintainer claim is approved.","publicNote":"Attribution links to the public repository or creator profile. Creators can claim the listing to update ownership signals."},"stats":{"stars":809,"forks":163,"verified_installs":0,"successful_runs":0,"total_outcomes":0,"rating":0,"review_count":0,"quality_score":40.91},"quality":{"score":70,"tier":"strong","label":"Strong","summary":"Solid option that is likely worth shortlisting for production workflows.","signals":[{"label":"GitHub stars","value":"809","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Freshness","value":"1mo ago","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Install ready","value":"Yes","tone":"positive"},{"label":"License","value":"MIT","tone":"neutral"}],"warnings":["SKILL.md excerpt is truncated; full document may contain additional details, but the provided content is sufficient for review."]},"trust":{"version":"trust-score-v5","score":65,"base_score":73,"outcome_confidence":0,"tier":"review","label":"Sandbox only","summary":"Useful candidate with missing or mixed trust signals. Keep it in an isolated workspace until the outcome loop proves task fit.","recommendedAction":"Run only in a sandbox and compare close alternatives before using it for real work.","decision":{"install_policy":"human_review_before_install","auto_install_allowed":false,"human_review_required":true,"sandbox_first":true,"agent_action":"Compare alternatives before installing.","reasoning":["65/100 Trust Score v5","73/100 Trust Score v4 baseline","Needs more real agent outcomes before unattended install","Install path is available","Review before production"],"review_required_when":["The workspace contains production secrets, payments, private customer data, or irreversible actions.","The install command requests shell, network, credential, database, or broad filesystem access.","Outcome evidence is missing, recently failed, or required human review.","Production credentials, payments, or irreversible account changes without explicit human review","Sensitive private data before reviewing repository code, license, and permission surface","Automatic installation in a production workspace"]},"dimensions":[{"id":"github_adoption","label":"GitHub adoption","score":76,"weight":0.13,"status":"info","detail":"809 GitHub stars"},{"id":"repo_activity","label":"Stars/forks activity","score":71,"weight":0.08,"status":"info","detail":"809 stars, 163 forks; 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issue activity unavailable in current metadata"},{"status":"pass","label":"Recent maintenance","detail":"1mo since push"},{"status":"pass","label":"License clarity","detail":"MIT"},{"status":"pass","label":"README/SKILL.md completeness","detail":"Metadata includes enough usage and workflow context"},{"status":"info","label":"Dependency/runtime risk","detail":"external package install surface, network or browser surface"},{"status":"pass","label":"Install availability","detail":"npx skills add komako-workshop/digital-oracle --skill digital-oracle"},{"status":"pass","label":"Install command safety","detail":"standard package or runtime install path"},{"status":"pass","label":"Permission surface","detail":"network or browser access"},{"status":"pass","label":"Repository evidence","detail":"https://github.com/komako-workshop/digital-oracle/blob/main/SKILL.md"},{"status":"info","label":"Review status","detail":"AI review data available"},{"status":"info","label":"Agent Proven outcomes","detail":"No agent outcome data yet"},{"status":"warn","label":"Ownership","detail":"No approved owner claim yet"},{"status":"pass","label":"OpenAgentSkill usage","detail":"1 views, 0 install copies"},{"status":"info","label":"Agent outcomes","detail":"No agent outcome data yet"}],"strengths":["AI review approved","Install path is available","Repository evidence is available","Recently maintained repository","Meaningful GitHub adoption signal","Install command has no obvious high-risk pattern","Outcome loop is ready but needs first real agent run"],"warnings":["SKILL.md excerpt is truncated; 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full document may contain additional details, but the provided content is sufficient for review.","Financial research output is not financial advice; require human review before any live investment decision.","Quality score needs review"]},"outcomeEvidence":{"total":0,"successes":0,"failures":0,"notRelevant":0,"successRate":null,"installAttempts":0,"riskBlocked":0,"setupRequired":0,"installSuccessRate":null,"avgOutputQuality":null,"avgTimeToUsefulMs":null,"productionOutcomes":0,"humanReviewRequired":0,"recentSuccessRate":null,"recentFailureRate":null,"uniqueAgents":0,"agentProvenScore":0,"agentProvenLabel":"Needs first agent run","lastOutcomeAt":null,"label":"No agent outcome data yet"},"autoInstall":{"allowed":false,"sandboxRequired":true,"policy":"human_review_before_install","reason":"Compare alternatives before installing."},"outcome_loop":{"version":"openagentskill-agent-outcome-v4","required_after_install":true,"endpoint":"/api/agent/outcome","method":"POST","event_id_source":"feedback.event_id, install_receipt.resolve_event_id, or decision_packet.outcome_feedback.event_id","expected_outcomes":["success","failed","not_relevant","blocked_by_risk","setup_required"],"required_fields":["event_id","skill_slug","task"],"quality_fields":["task_success","output_quality","error_type","human_review_required","used_in_production","workspace","evidence_url","time_to_useful_ms","source_version"],"ranking_inputs_updated":["Trust Score v5 outcome confidence","Agent Proven Score","Resolve ranking task-fit evidence","Skill detail machine-readable metadata","Outcome leaderboard"]},"agent_contract":{"suited_tasks":["design-creative","agent-skill"],"suited_agents":["Codex","Claude Code","Cursor","OpenAgentSkill CLI"],"install_command":"npx skills add komako-workshop/digital-oracle --skill digital-oracle","trust_score":65,"trust_version":"trust-score-v5","risk_level":"medium","do_not_use_when":["Production credentials, payments, or irreversible account changes without explicit human review","Sensitive private data before reviewing repository code, license, and permission surface","Automatic installation in a production workspace","Autonomous investment, trading, tax, or suitability decisions without a qualified human review"],"before_install":["Read the audit page and machine-readable metadata.","Confirm the install command, license, and permission surface fit the workspace.","Get explicit human approval or choose an alternative before installing."],"after_run":["Report the outcome to /api/agent/outcome using the resolve event id.","Include output_quality, workspace, human_review_required, and evidence_url when available.","Re-resolve before broad production rollout."]},"bestFor":["design-creative","agent-skill"],"doNotUseFor":["Production credentials, payments, or irreversible account changes without explicit human review","Sensitive private data before reviewing repository code, license, and permission surface","Automatic installation in a production workspace","Autonomous investment, trading, tax, or suitability decisions without a qualified human review"],"knownRisks":["SKILL.md excerpt is truncated; full document may contain additional details, but the provided content is sufficient for review.","Financial research output is not financial advice; require human review before any live investment decision.","Quality score needs review"],"backward_compatible":{"trust_score_v4":{"version":"trust-score-v4","score":73,"tier":"strong","label":"Strong shortlist","summary":"Good trust signals with a few areas worth checking before rollout."}}},"trust_score_v4":{"version":"trust-score-v4","score":73,"tier":"strong","label":"Strong shortlist","summary":"Good trust signals with a few areas worth checking before rollout.","recommendedAction":"Test in a sandbox workflow and compare its install path with close alternatives.","dimensions":[{"id":"github_adoption","label":"GitHub adoption","score":76,"weight":0.13,"status":"info","detail":"809 GitHub stars"},{"id":"repo_activity","label":"Stars/forks activity","score":71,"weight":0.08,"status":"info","detail":"809 stars, 163 forks; issue activity unavailable in current metadata"},{"id":"maintenance","label":"Recent maintenance","score":88,"weight":0.14,"status":"pass","detail":"1mo since push"},{"id":"license","label":"License clarity","score":86,"weight":0.09,"status":"pass","detail":"MIT"},{"id":"documentation","label":"README/SKILL.md completeness","score":86,"weight":0.14,"status":"pass","detail":"Metadata includes enough usage and workflow context"},{"id":"dependency_risk","label":"Dependency/runtime risk","score":72,"weight":0.12,"status":"info","detail":"external package install surface, network or browser surface"},{"id":"installability","label":"Install availability","score":92,"weight":0.1,"status":"pass","detail":"npx skills add komako-workshop/digital-oracle --skill digital-oracle"},{"id":"install_safety","label":"Install command safety","score":92,"weight":0.1,"status":"pass","detail":"standard package or runtime install path"},{"id":"permission_surface","label":"Permission surface","score":86,"weight":0.07,"status":"pass","detail":"network or browser access"},{"id":"repository","label":"Repository evidence","score":86,"weight":0.04,"status":"pass","detail":"https://github.com/komako-workshop/digital-oracle/blob/main/SKILL.md"},{"id":"review_status","label":"Review status","score":66,"weight":0.05,"status":"info","detail":"AI review data available"},{"id":"agent_outcomes","label":"Agent Proven outcomes","score":54,"weight":0.13,"status":"info","detail":"No agent outcome data yet"}],"checks":[{"status":"info","label":"GitHub adoption","detail":"809 GitHub stars"},{"status":"info","label":"Stars/forks activity","detail":"809 stars, 163 forks; issue activity unavailable in current metadata"},{"status":"pass","label":"Recent maintenance","detail":"1mo since push"},{"status":"pass","label":"License clarity","detail":"MIT"},{"status":"pass","label":"README/SKILL.md completeness","detail":"Metadata includes enough usage and workflow context"},{"status":"info","label":"Dependency/runtime risk","detail":"external package install surface, network or browser surface"},{"status":"pass","label":"Install availability","detail":"npx skills add komako-workshop/digital-oracle --skill digital-oracle"},{"status":"pass","label":"Install command safety","detail":"standard package or runtime install path"},{"status":"pass","label":"Permission surface","detail":"network or browser access"},{"status":"pass","label":"Repository evidence","detail":"https://github.com/komako-workshop/digital-oracle/blob/main/SKILL.md"},{"status":"info","label":"Review status","detail":"AI review data available"},{"status":"info","label":"Agent Proven outcomes","detail":"No agent outcome data yet"},{"status":"warn","label":"Ownership","detail":"No approved owner claim yet"},{"status":"pass","label":"OpenAgentSkill usage","detail":"1 views, 0 install copies"},{"status":"info","label":"Agent outcomes","detail":"No agent outcome data yet"}],"strengths":["AI review approved","Install path is available","Repository evidence is available","Recently maintained repository","Meaningful GitHub adoption signal","Install command has no obvious high-risk pattern"],"warnings":["SKILL.md excerpt is truncated; full document may contain additional details, but the provided content is sufficient for review.","Financial research output is not financial advice; require human review before any live investment decision.","Quality score needs review"],"evidence":{"stars":"809 GitHub stars","repoActivity":"809 stars, 163 forks","lastPushed":"1mo since push","license":"MIT","repository":"https://github.com/komako-workshop/digital-oracle/blob/main/SKILL.md","install":"npx skills add komako-workshop/digital-oracle --skill digital-oracle","installSafety":"standard package or runtime install path","permissionSurface":"network or browser access","documentation":"Strong README/SKILL.md context","agentOutcomes":"No agent outcome data yet"},"installReadiness":{"ready":true,"command":"npx skills add komako-workshop/digital-oracle --skill digital-oracle","policy":"human_review_before_install","label":"Human review before install","notes":["Install path is available","Repository evidence is available","License is declared","No Agent Proven outcome evidence yet","1mo since push","Financial domain: human review is required before use in a live investment workflow."]},"agentCompatibility":["Codex","Claude Code","Cursor","OpenAgentSkill CLI"],"riskSummary":{"level":"medium","label":"Review before production","notes":["SKILL.md excerpt is truncated; full document may contain additional details, but the provided content is sufficient for review.","Financial research output is not financial advice; require human review before any live investment decision.","Quality score needs review"]},"outcomeEvidence":{"total":0,"successes":0,"failures":0,"notRelevant":0,"successRate":null,"installAttempts":0,"riskBlocked":0,"setupRequired":0,"installSuccessRate":null,"avgOutputQuality":null,"avgTimeToUsefulMs":null,"productionOutcomes":0,"humanReviewRequired":0,"recentSuccessRate":null,"recentFailureRate":null,"uniqueAgents":0,"agentProvenScore":0,"agentProvenLabel":"Needs first agent run","lastOutcomeAt":null,"label":"No agent outcome data yet"},"autoInstall":{"allowed":false,"sandboxRequired":true,"policy":"human_review_before_install","reason":"Human review or sandbox validation is required before automatic installation."},"bestFor":["design-creative","agent-skill"],"doNotUseFor":["Production credentials, payments, or irreversible account changes without explicit human review","Sensitive private data before reviewing repository code, license, and permission surface","Automatic installation in a production workspace","Autonomous investment, trading, tax, or suitability decisions without a qualified human review"],"knownRisks":["SKILL.md excerpt is truncated; full document may contain additional details, but the provided content is sufficient for review.","Financial research output is not financial advice; require human review before any live investment decision.","Quality score needs review"]},"agent_proven":{"version":"agent-proven-v1","score":0,"tier":"unproven","label":"Needs first agent run","summary":"No agent outcome reports yet. Use Resolve, run one narrow sandbox task, then report the result.","metrics":{"totalOutcomes":0,"successfulOutcomes":0,"failedOutcomes":0,"installAttempts":0,"installSuccessRate":null,"successRate":null,"recentSuccessRate":null,"recentFailureRate":null,"riskBlocked":0,"setupRequired":0,"notRelevant":0,"avgOutputQuality":null,"avgTimeToUsefulMs":null,"productionOutcomes":0,"humanReviewRequired":0,"uniqueAgents":0,"lastOutcomeAt":null},"signals":[],"penalties":["No real agent outcome evidence yet"]},"outcome_stats":null,"safety":{"score":62,"level":"review_before_install","label":"Review before install","safety_tier":{"tier":"reviewed","label":"Reviewed with permission notes","badge":"REVIEWED","summary":"Usable candidate, but the agent should surface permission and audit notes before installation.","recommended_action":"Require human approval before installing into a real workspace.","auto_install_policy":"review","reasons":["Financial research output is not financial advice; require human review before any live investment decision","62/100 agent safety score"]},"auto_install_allowed":false,"human_review_required":true,"blocked":false,"audit_risk":"needs_review","permission_hints":[{"id":"browser","label":"Browser automation","reason":"Skill may drive a browser or interact with web pages.","severity":"medium"},{"id":"network","label":"Network access","reason":"Skill likely fetches remote pages, APIs, repositories, or external services.","severity":"medium"}],"policy_warnings":["Financial research output is not financial advice; require human review before any live investment decision"],"constraints_applied":{"max_risk":"medium","needs_install_command":true,"min_stars":0}},"safety_gate":{"tier":"reviewed","label":"Reviewed with permission notes","badge":"REVIEWED","auto_install_policy":"review","auto_install_allowed":false,"blocked":false,"human_review_required":true,"recommended_action":"Require human approval before installing into a real workspace.","reasons":["Financial research output is not financial advice; require human review before any live investment decision","62/100 agent safety score"]},"eval":{"version":"openagentskill-skill-eval-v1","status":"review","score":74,"risk_level":"medium","decision":{"recommendation":"manual_review","reason":"Require human approval before installing into a real workspace.","auto_install_allowed":false,"policy":"review","human_review_required":true},"blockers":[],"warnings":["Trust score: Good trust signals with a few areas worth checking before rollout.","Audit score: Needs review","Agent safety gate: Usable candidate, but the agent should surface permission and audit notes before installation.","Financial research output is not financial advice; require human review before any live investment decision","SKILL.md excerpt is truncated; full document may contain additional details, but the provided content is sufficient for review.","The skill relies on many external APIs that may have rate limits or require API keys; the code does not appear to handle authentication, but public endpoints are used.","Financial research output is not financial advice; require human review before any live investment decision.","Quality score needs review"],"validation_plan":["Inspect repository, README/SKILL.md, license, and recent commits before production use.","Install in an isolated workspace or sandbox with no production secrets available.","Run the smallest representative task and record files touched, commands run, network access, and outputs.","Compare the selected skill against at least one alternative when the eval status is review or failed.","Promote only after the agent reports a successful verification result and unresolved warnings are accepted."],"checks":[{"id":"task_fit","label":"Task fit","status":"pass","score":94,"required_for_auto_install":true,"detail":"Task wording matches this skill metadata.","evidence":["Evaluate digital-oracle before installing it in an agent workflow","design-creative","Research agents workflows; Claude Code teams; teams that value GitHub adoption signals"]},{"id":"install_path","label":"Install path","status":"pass","score":92,"required_for_auto_install":true,"detail":"Install handoff is available.","evidence":["npx skills add komako-workshop/digital-oracle --skill digital-oracle"]},{"id":"install_safety","label":"Install command safety","status":"pass","score":92,"required_for_auto_install":true,"detail":"standard package or runtime install path","evidence":["npx skills add komako-workshop/digital-oracle --skill digital-oracle"]},{"id":"trust_score","label":"Trust score","status":"warn","score":73,"required_for_auto_install":true,"detail":"Good trust signals with a few areas worth checking before rollout.","evidence":["Strong shortlist","809 GitHub stars","MIT"]},{"id":"audit_score","label":"Audit score","status":"warn","score":78,"required_for_auto_install":true,"detail":"Needs review","evidence":["Financial research output is not financial advice; require human review before any live investment decision"]},{"id":"agent_safety_gate","label":"Agent safety gate","status":"warn","score":62,"required_for_auto_install":true,"detail":"Usable candidate, but the agent should surface permission and audit notes before installation.","evidence":["Require human approval before installing into a real workspace.","Financial research output is not financial advice; require human review before any live investment decision"]},{"id":"readme_skillmd_completeness","label":"README/SKILL.md completeness","status":"pass","score":86,"required_for_auto_install":false,"detail":"Metadata includes enough usage and workflow context","evidence":["Strong README/SKILL.md context"]},{"id":"license_clarity","label":"License clarity","status":"pass","score":86,"required_for_auto_install":true,"detail":"MIT","evidence":["MIT"]},{"id":"recent_maintenance","label":"Recent maintenance","status":"pass","score":88,"required_for_auto_install":false,"detail":"1mo since push","evidence":["1mo since push"]},{"id":"permission_surface","label":"Permission surface","status":"pass","score":86,"required_for_auto_install":true,"detail":"network or browser access","evidence":["Browser automation: medium","Network access: medium"]},{"id":"alternatives","label":"Alternatives available","status":"info","score":55,"required_for_auto_install":false,"detail":"No close alternatives were found in the current shortlist.","evidence":[]}],"endpoints":{"web":"https://www.openagentskill.com/skills/komako-workshop-digital-oracle/evals","api":"/api/agent/evals?slug=komako-workshop-digital-oracle","text":"/api/agent/evals?slug=komako-workshop-digital-oracle&format=text"}},"agent_readable_metadata":{"version":"openagentskill-agent-metadata-v2","skill":{"slug":"komako-workshop-digital-oracle","name":"digital-oracle","description":"Answer prediction questions using market trading data, not opinions. Use when the user asks probability questions about geopolitics, economics, markets, industries, or any topic where real money is being traded on the outcome. Examples: 'What's the probability of WW3?', 'Will there be a recession?', 'Is AI in a bubble?', 'When will the Russia-Ukraine war end?', 'Is it a good time to buy gold?', 'Will SPY drop 5% this month?', 'Is NVDA options premium overpriced?'. The skill reads prices from prediction markets, commodities, equities, options chains, derivatives, yield curves, and currencies, then cross-validates multiple signals to produce a structured probability report.","category":"design-creative","url":"https://www.openagentskill.com/skills/komako-workshop-digital-oracle","repository":"https://github.com/komako-workshop/digital-oracle/blob/main/SKILL.md","github_repo":"komako-workshop/digital-oracle"},"suited_tasks":["Research agents workflows","Claude Code teams","teams that value GitHub adoption signals","Search sources","Extract claims","Synthesize findings","Retrieve market data","Compare financial signals"],"suited_agents":["Codex","Claude Code","Cursor","OpenAgentSkill CLI","CLI"],"install":{"command":"npx skills add komako-workshop/digital-oracle --skill digital-oracle","ready":true,"targets":[{"id":"openagentskill-cli","label":"CLI","kind":"command","value":"npx --yes https://github.com/Leon-Drq/openagentskill/releases/download/cli-v0.3.0/openagentskill-0.3.0.tgz add komako-workshop-digital-oracle"},{"id":"codex","label":"Codex","kind":"agent-prompt","value":"Install the \"digital-oracle\" agent skill from https://github.com/komako-workshop/digital-oracle/blob/main/SKILL.md. Read its SKILL.md or equivalent instructions first, install only the files needed for this workspace, and summarize any required setup before using it. Skill purpose: Answer prediction questions using market trading data, not opinions. Use when the user asks probability questions about geopolitics, economics, markets, industries, or any topic where real money is being traded on the outcome. Examples: 'What's the probability of WW3?', 'Will there be a recession?', 'Is AI in a bubble?', 'When will the Russia-Ukraine war end?', 'Is it a good time to buy gold?', 'Will SPY drop 5% this month?', 'Is NVDA options premium overpriced?'. The skill reads prices from prediction markets, commodities, equities, options chains, derivatives, yield curves, and currencies, then cross-validates multiple signals to produce a structured probability report. After the install attempt, report the result to https://www.openagentskill.com/api/agent/outcome with POST JSON {\"event_id\":\"install_\",\"skill_slug\":\"komako-workshop-digital-oracle\",\"task\":\"Install digital-oracle\",\"agent\":\"codex\",\"outcome\":\"success\",\"install_used\":true}. Replace event_id with a unique value and outcome with success or failed. Report success only after the skill is installed and a minimal verification passes."},{"id":"claude-code","label":"Claude Code","kind":"agent-prompt","value":"Add \"digital-oracle\" as a Claude Code skill from https://github.com/komako-workshop/digital-oracle/blob/main/SKILL.md. Inspect the skill instructions, place the reusable skill files in the appropriate local skills location for this project, and report the activation steps. Skill purpose: Answer prediction questions using market trading data, not opinions. Use when the user asks probability questions about geopolitics, economics, markets, industries, or any topic where real money is being traded on the outcome. Examples: 'What's the probability of WW3?', 'Will there be a recession?', 'Is AI in a bubble?', 'When will the Russia-Ukraine war end?', 'Is it a good time to buy gold?', 'Will SPY drop 5% this month?', 'Is NVDA options premium overpriced?'. The skill reads prices from prediction markets, commodities, equities, options chains, derivatives, yield curves, and currencies, then cross-validates multiple signals to produce a structured probability report. After the install attempt, report the result to https://www.openagentskill.com/api/agent/outcome with POST JSON {\"event_id\":\"install_\",\"skill_slug\":\"komako-workshop-digital-oracle\",\"task\":\"Install digital-oracle\",\"agent\":\"claude-code\",\"outcome\":\"success\",\"install_used\":true}. Replace event_id with a unique value and outcome with success or failed. Report success only after the skill is installed and a minimal verification passes."},{"id":"cursor","label":"Cursor","kind":"agent-prompt","value":"Turn \"digital-oracle\" from https://github.com/komako-workshop/digital-oracle/blob/main/SKILL.md into a reusable Cursor project rule or agent instruction. Preserve the core workflow, adapt paths to this repo, and keep the rule scoped to tasks where it is relevant. Skill purpose: Answer prediction questions using market trading data, not opinions. Use when the user asks probability questions about geopolitics, economics, markets, industries, or any topic where real money is being traded on the outcome. Examples: 'What's the probability of WW3?', 'Will there be a recession?', 'Is AI in a bubble?', 'When will the Russia-Ukraine war end?', 'Is it a good time to buy gold?', 'Will SPY drop 5% this month?', 'Is NVDA options premium overpriced?'. The skill reads prices from prediction markets, commodities, equities, options chains, derivatives, yield curves, and currencies, then cross-validates multiple signals to produce a structured probability report. After the install attempt, report the result to https://www.openagentskill.com/api/agent/outcome with POST JSON {\"event_id\":\"install_\",\"skill_slug\":\"komako-workshop-digital-oracle\",\"task\":\"Install digital-oracle\",\"agent\":\"cursor\",\"outcome\":\"success\",\"install_used\":true}. Replace event_id with a unique value and outcome with success or failed. Report success only after the skill is installed and a minimal verification passes."}],"handoff_url":"https://www.openagentskill.com/api/skills/komako-workshop-digital-oracle/install","manifest_url":"https://www.openagentskill.com/api/registry/manifest/komako-workshop-digital-oracle"},"trust":{"score":73,"label":"Strong shortlist","version":"trust-score-v4","install_policy":"human_review_before_install","evidence":{"stars":"809 GitHub stars","repoActivity":"809 stars, 163 forks","lastPushed":"1mo since push","license":"MIT","repository":"https://github.com/komako-workshop/digital-oracle/blob/main/SKILL.md","install":"npx skills add komako-workshop/digital-oracle --skill digital-oracle","installSafety":"standard package or runtime install path","permissionSurface":"network or browser access","documentation":"Strong README/SKILL.md context","agentOutcomes":"No agent outcome data yet"},"outcome_evidence":{"total":0,"successes":0,"failures":0,"not_relevant":0,"success_rate":null,"recent_success_rate":null,"recent_failure_rate":null,"install_attempts":0,"install_success_rate":null,"risk_blocked":0,"setup_required":0,"avg_output_quality":null,"production_outcomes":0,"last_outcome_at":null,"label":"No agent outcome data yet"},"auto_install":{"allowed":false,"sandbox_required":true,"reason":"Human review or sandbox validation is required before automatic installation."},"best_for":["design-creative","agent-skill"],"known_risks":["SKILL.md excerpt is truncated; full document may contain additional details, but the provided content is sufficient for review.","Financial research output is not financial advice; require human review before any live investment decision.","Quality score needs review"]},"agent_proven":{"version":"agent-proven-v1","score":0,"tier":"unproven","label":"Needs first agent run","summary":"No agent outcome reports yet. Use Resolve, run one narrow sandbox task, then report the result.","metrics":{"totalOutcomes":0,"successfulOutcomes":0,"failedOutcomes":0,"installAttempts":0,"installSuccessRate":null,"successRate":null,"recentSuccessRate":null,"recentFailureRate":null,"riskBlocked":0,"setupRequired":0,"notRelevant":0,"avgOutputQuality":null,"avgTimeToUsefulMs":null,"productionOutcomes":0,"humanReviewRequired":0,"uniqueAgents":0,"lastOutcomeAt":null},"signals":[],"penalties":["No real agent outcome evidence yet"]},"audit":{"score":78,"risk_level":"needs_review","risk_label":"Needs review","warnings":["Financial research output is not financial advice; require human review before any live investment decision","SKILL.md excerpt is truncated; full document may contain additional details, but the provided content is sufficient for review.","The skill relies on many external APIs that may have rate limits or require API keys; the code does not appear to handle authentication, but public endpoints are used.","Financial research output is not financial advice; require human review before any live investment decision.","Quality score needs review"]},"safety_gate":{"tier":"reviewed","label":"Reviewed with permission notes","auto_install_policy":"review","auto_install_allowed":false,"human_review_required":true,"blocked":false,"recommended_action":"Require human approval before installing into a real workspace."},"quality":{"score":70,"label":"Strong"},"supply":{"track":"Research and knowledge work","scenario":"Research agents","maintenance":"1mo since push","risk":"Needs review"},"alternative_skills":[],"do_not_use_when":["teams that need a vendor-supported SLA","production agents without a repository review","SKILL.md excerpt is truncated; full document may contain additional details, but the provided content is sufficient for review.","Financial research output is not financial advice; require human review before any live investment decision","The skill relies on many external APIs that may have rate limits or require API keys; the code does not appear to handle authentication, but public endpoints are used.","Financial research output is not financial advice; require human review before any live investment decision.","Quality score needs review","Production credentials, payments, or irreversible account changes without explicit human review"],"agent_contract":{"task_input":"Use digital-oracle in an agent workflow","recommended_action":"Require human approval before installing into a real workspace.","install_policy":"review","minimum_review_before_use":["Trust: 73/100 Strong shortlist","Audit: 78/100 Needs review","Safety: 62/100 Review before install","Review repository, license, install command, and permission surface before production use."],"expected_agent_output":{"selected_skill":"komako-workshop-digital-oracle (digital-oracle)","install_command":"npx skills add komako-workshop/digital-oracle --skill digital-oracle","risk_summary":"Needs review; Reviewed with permission notes; Review before production","verification_result":"Report the smallest successful task, files touched, warnings, and any missing setup."}},"outcome_feedback":{"endpoint":"https://www.openagentskill.com/api/agent/outcome","method":"POST","requires_resolve_event_id":true,"event_id_source":"Use install_receipt.outcome_feedback.event_id or feedback.event_id returned by /api/agent/resolve for the current task.","expected_outcomes":["success","failed","not_relevant","blocked_by_risk","setup_required"],"payload_template":{"event_id":"","skill_slug":"komako-workshop-digital-oracle","task":"Use digital-oracle in an agent workflow","agent":"codex","outcome":"success","install_used":true,"risk_blocked":false,"setup_required":false,"task_success":true,"output_quality":4,"error_type":null,"human_review_required":false,"workspace":"sandbox","time_to_useful_ms":120000,"notes":"Report the smallest successful task, setup friction, files touched, and risk notes."}},"endpoints":{"web":"https://www.openagentskill.com/skills/komako-workshop-digital-oracle","api":"https://www.openagentskill.com/api/agent/skills/komako-workshop-digital-oracle","audit":"https://www.openagentskill.com/skills/komako-workshop-digital-oracle/audit","eval":"https://www.openagentskill.com/api/agent/evals?slug=komako-workshop-digital-oracle&task=Use%20digital-oracle%20in%20an%20agent%20workflow&max_risk=medium","resolve":"https://www.openagentskill.com/api/agent/resolve?task=Use%20digital-oracle%20in%20an%20agent%20workflow&agent=codex&max_risk=medium","receipt":"https://www.openagentskill.com/api/agent/receipt?task=Use%20digital-oracle%20in%20an%20agent%20workflow&agent=codex&max_risk=medium&format=text","install":"https://www.openagentskill.com/api/skills/komako-workshop-digital-oracle/install","manifest":"https://www.openagentskill.com/api/registry/manifest/komako-workshop-digital-oracle"}},"machine_metadata":{"version":"openagentskill-agent-metadata-v2","skill":{"slug":"komako-workshop-digital-oracle","name":"digital-oracle","description":"Answer prediction questions using market trading data, not opinions. Use when the user asks probability questions about geopolitics, economics, markets, industries, or any topic where real money is being traded on the outcome. Examples: 'What's the probability of WW3?', 'Will there be a recession?', 'Is AI in a bubble?', 'When will the Russia-Ukraine war end?', 'Is it a good time to buy gold?', 'Will SPY drop 5% this month?', 'Is NVDA options premium overpriced?'. The skill reads prices from prediction markets, commodities, equities, options chains, derivatives, yield curves, and currencies, then cross-validates multiple signals to produce a structured probability report.","category":"design-creative","url":"https://www.openagentskill.com/skills/komako-workshop-digital-oracle","repository":"https://github.com/komako-workshop/digital-oracle/blob/main/SKILL.md","github_repo":"komako-workshop/digital-oracle"},"suited_tasks":["Research agents workflows","Claude Code teams","teams that value GitHub adoption signals","Search sources","Extract claims","Synthesize findings","Retrieve market data","Compare financial signals"],"suited_agents":["Codex","Claude Code","Cursor","OpenAgentSkill CLI","CLI"],"install":{"command":"npx skills add komako-workshop/digital-oracle --skill digital-oracle","ready":true,"targets":[{"id":"openagentskill-cli","label":"CLI","kind":"command","value":"npx --yes https://github.com/Leon-Drq/openagentskill/releases/download/cli-v0.3.0/openagentskill-0.3.0.tgz add komako-workshop-digital-oracle"},{"id":"codex","label":"Codex","kind":"agent-prompt","value":"Install the \"digital-oracle\" agent skill from https://github.com/komako-workshop/digital-oracle/blob/main/SKILL.md. Read its SKILL.md or equivalent instructions first, install only the files needed for this workspace, and summarize any required setup before using it. Skill purpose: Answer prediction questions using market trading data, not opinions. Use when the user asks probability questions about geopolitics, economics, markets, industries, or any topic where real money is being traded on the outcome. Examples: 'What's the probability of WW3?', 'Will there be a recession?', 'Is AI in a bubble?', 'When will the Russia-Ukraine war end?', 'Is it a good time to buy gold?', 'Will SPY drop 5% this month?', 'Is NVDA options premium overpriced?'. The skill reads prices from prediction markets, commodities, equities, options chains, derivatives, yield curves, and currencies, then cross-validates multiple signals to produce a structured probability report. After the install attempt, report the result to https://www.openagentskill.com/api/agent/outcome with POST JSON {\"event_id\":\"install_\",\"skill_slug\":\"komako-workshop-digital-oracle\",\"task\":\"Install digital-oracle\",\"agent\":\"codex\",\"outcome\":\"success\",\"install_used\":true}. Replace event_id with a unique value and outcome with success or failed. Report success only after the skill is installed and a minimal verification passes."},{"id":"claude-code","label":"Claude Code","kind":"agent-prompt","value":"Add \"digital-oracle\" as a Claude Code skill from https://github.com/komako-workshop/digital-oracle/blob/main/SKILL.md. Inspect the skill instructions, place the reusable skill files in the appropriate local skills location for this project, and report the activation steps. Skill purpose: Answer prediction questions using market trading data, not opinions. Use when the user asks probability questions about geopolitics, economics, markets, industries, or any topic where real money is being traded on the outcome. Examples: 'What's the probability of WW3?', 'Will there be a recession?', 'Is AI in a bubble?', 'When will the Russia-Ukraine war end?', 'Is it a good time to buy gold?', 'Will SPY drop 5% this month?', 'Is NVDA options premium overpriced?'. The skill reads prices from prediction markets, commodities, equities, options chains, derivatives, yield curves, and currencies, then cross-validates multiple signals to produce a structured probability report. After the install attempt, report the result to https://www.openagentskill.com/api/agent/outcome with POST JSON {\"event_id\":\"install_\",\"skill_slug\":\"komako-workshop-digital-oracle\",\"task\":\"Install digital-oracle\",\"agent\":\"claude-code\",\"outcome\":\"success\",\"install_used\":true}. Replace event_id with a unique value and outcome with success or failed. Report success only after the skill is installed and a minimal verification passes."},{"id":"cursor","label":"Cursor","kind":"agent-prompt","value":"Turn \"digital-oracle\" from https://github.com/komako-workshop/digital-oracle/blob/main/SKILL.md into a reusable Cursor project rule or agent instruction. Preserve the core workflow, adapt paths to this repo, and keep the rule scoped to tasks where it is relevant. Skill purpose: Answer prediction questions using market trading data, not opinions. Use when the user asks probability questions about geopolitics, economics, markets, industries, or any topic where real money is being traded on the outcome. Examples: 'What's the probability of WW3?', 'Will there be a recession?', 'Is AI in a bubble?', 'When will the Russia-Ukraine war end?', 'Is it a good time to buy gold?', 'Will SPY drop 5% this month?', 'Is NVDA options premium overpriced?'. The skill reads prices from prediction markets, commodities, equities, options chains, derivatives, yield curves, and currencies, then cross-validates multiple signals to produce a structured probability report. After the install attempt, report the result to https://www.openagentskill.com/api/agent/outcome with POST JSON {\"event_id\":\"install_\",\"skill_slug\":\"komako-workshop-digital-oracle\",\"task\":\"Install digital-oracle\",\"agent\":\"cursor\",\"outcome\":\"success\",\"install_used\":true}. Replace event_id with a unique value and outcome with success or failed. Report success only after the skill is installed and a minimal verification passes."}],"handoff_url":"https://www.openagentskill.com/api/skills/komako-workshop-digital-oracle/install","manifest_url":"https://www.openagentskill.com/api/registry/manifest/komako-workshop-digital-oracle"},"trust":{"score":73,"label":"Strong shortlist","version":"trust-score-v4","install_policy":"human_review_before_install","evidence":{"stars":"809 GitHub stars","repoActivity":"809 stars, 163 forks","lastPushed":"1mo since push","license":"MIT","repository":"https://github.com/komako-workshop/digital-oracle/blob/main/SKILL.md","install":"npx skills add komako-workshop/digital-oracle --skill digital-oracle","installSafety":"standard package or runtime install path","permissionSurface":"network or browser access","documentation":"Strong README/SKILL.md context","agentOutcomes":"No agent outcome data yet"},"outcome_evidence":{"total":0,"successes":0,"failures":0,"not_relevant":0,"success_rate":null,"recent_success_rate":null,"recent_failure_rate":null,"install_attempts":0,"install_success_rate":null,"risk_blocked":0,"setup_required":0,"avg_output_quality":null,"production_outcomes":0,"last_outcome_at":null,"label":"No agent outcome data yet"},"auto_install":{"allowed":false,"sandbox_required":true,"reason":"Human review or sandbox validation is required before automatic installation."},"best_for":["design-creative","agent-skill"],"known_risks":["SKILL.md excerpt is truncated; full document may contain additional details, but the provided content is sufficient for review.","Financial research output is not financial advice; require human review before any live investment decision.","Quality score needs review"]},"agent_proven":{"version":"agent-proven-v1","score":0,"tier":"unproven","label":"Needs first agent run","summary":"No agent outcome reports yet. Use Resolve, run one narrow sandbox task, then report the result.","metrics":{"totalOutcomes":0,"successfulOutcomes":0,"failedOutcomes":0,"installAttempts":0,"installSuccessRate":null,"successRate":null,"recentSuccessRate":null,"recentFailureRate":null,"riskBlocked":0,"setupRequired":0,"notRelevant":0,"avgOutputQuality":null,"avgTimeToUsefulMs":null,"productionOutcomes":0,"humanReviewRequired":0,"uniqueAgents":0,"lastOutcomeAt":null},"signals":[],"penalties":["No real agent outcome evidence yet"]},"audit":{"score":78,"risk_level":"needs_review","risk_label":"Needs review","warnings":["Financial research output is not financial advice; require human review before any live investment decision","SKILL.md excerpt is truncated; full document may contain additional details, but the provided content is sufficient for review.","The skill relies on many external APIs that may have rate limits or require API keys; the code does not appear to handle authentication, but public endpoints are used.","Financial research output is not financial advice; require human review before any live investment decision.","Quality score needs review"]},"safety_gate":{"tier":"reviewed","label":"Reviewed with permission notes","auto_install_policy":"review","auto_install_allowed":false,"human_review_required":true,"blocked":false,"recommended_action":"Require human approval before installing into a real workspace."},"quality":{"score":70,"label":"Strong"},"supply":{"track":"Research and knowledge work","scenario":"Research agents","maintenance":"1mo since push","risk":"Needs review"},"alternative_skills":[],"do_not_use_when":["teams that need a vendor-supported SLA","production agents without a repository review","SKILL.md excerpt is truncated; full document may contain additional details, but the provided content is sufficient for review.","Financial research output is not financial advice; require human review before any live investment decision","The skill relies on many external APIs that may have rate limits or require API keys; the code does not appear to handle authentication, but public endpoints are used.","Financial research output is not financial advice; require human review before any live investment decision.","Quality score needs review","Production credentials, payments, or irreversible account changes without explicit human review"],"agent_contract":{"task_input":"Use digital-oracle in an agent workflow","recommended_action":"Require human approval before installing into a real workspace.","install_policy":"review","minimum_review_before_use":["Trust: 73/100 Strong shortlist","Audit: 78/100 Needs review","Safety: 62/100 Review before install","Review repository, license, install command, and permission surface before production use."],"expected_agent_output":{"selected_skill":"komako-workshop-digital-oracle (digital-oracle)","install_command":"npx skills add komako-workshop/digital-oracle --skill digital-oracle","risk_summary":"Needs review; Reviewed with permission notes; Review before production","verification_result":"Report the smallest successful task, files touched, warnings, and any missing setup."}},"outcome_feedback":{"endpoint":"https://www.openagentskill.com/api/agent/outcome","method":"POST","requires_resolve_event_id":true,"event_id_source":"Use install_receipt.outcome_feedback.event_id or feedback.event_id returned by /api/agent/resolve for the current task.","expected_outcomes":["success","failed","not_relevant","blocked_by_risk","setup_required"],"payload_template":{"event_id":"","skill_slug":"komako-workshop-digital-oracle","task":"Use digital-oracle in an agent workflow","agent":"codex","outcome":"success","install_used":true,"risk_blocked":false,"setup_required":false,"task_success":true,"output_quality":4,"error_type":null,"human_review_required":false,"workspace":"sandbox","time_to_useful_ms":120000,"notes":"Report the smallest successful task, setup friction, files touched, and risk notes."}},"endpoints":{"web":"https://www.openagentskill.com/skills/komako-workshop-digital-oracle","api":"https://www.openagentskill.com/api/agent/skills/komako-workshop-digital-oracle","audit":"https://www.openagentskill.com/skills/komako-workshop-digital-oracle/audit","eval":"https://www.openagentskill.com/api/agent/evals?slug=komako-workshop-digital-oracle&task=Use%20digital-oracle%20in%20an%20agent%20workflow&max_risk=medium","resolve":"https://www.openagentskill.com/api/agent/resolve?task=Use%20digital-oracle%20in%20an%20agent%20workflow&agent=codex&max_risk=medium","receipt":"https://www.openagentskill.com/api/agent/receipt?task=Use%20digital-oracle%20in%20an%20agent%20workflow&agent=codex&max_risk=medium&format=text","install":"https://www.openagentskill.com/api/skills/komako-workshop-digital-oracle/install","manifest":"https://www.openagentskill.com/api/registry/manifest/komako-workshop-digital-oracle"}},"supply_profile":{"track":{"slug":"research","label":"Research and knowledge work","shortLabel":"Research","description":"Deep research, source comparison, literature review, RAG, knowledge search, and reports."},"scenario":{"label":"Research agents","description":"I need my agent to research a topic, compare sources, and produce a concise report.","useCases":[{"slug":"research-agents","title":"Research agents"},{"slug":"finance-quant","title":"Finance and quant"},{"slug":"browser-automation","title":"Browser automation"}]},"applicableAgents":["Claude Code","CLI","Codex","Cursor"],"install":{"ready":true,"command":"npx skills add komako-workshop/digital-oracle --skill digital-oracle","primaryTarget":"CLI","targetCount":4},"githubQuality":{"stars":809,"starsLabel":"809","forks":163,"license":"MIT","qualityScore":70,"trustScore":73,"auditScore":78},"maintenance":{"status":"active","label":"1mo since push","daysSincePush":42,"lastPushedAt":"2026-07-26T22:44:52+00:00"},"risk":{"level":"needs_review","label":"Needs review","requiresReview":true,"notes":["Financial research output is not financial advice; require human review before any live investment decision","SKILL.md excerpt is truncated; full document may contain additional details, but the provided content is sufficient for review.","The skill relies on many external APIs that may have rate limits or require API keys; the code does not appear to handle authentication, but public endpoints are used.","Financial research output is not financial advice; require human review before any live investment decision.","Quality score needs review"]},"coverageTags":["Research","Research agents","design-creative","agent-skill"]},"audit":{"audit_score":78,"risk_level":"needs_review","risk_label":"Needs review","quality_score":70,"trust_score":73,"maintenance_score":88,"security_score":80,"install_score":92,"warnings":["Financial research output is not financial advice; require human review before any live investment decision","SKILL.md excerpt is truncated; full document may contain additional details, but the provided content is sufficient for review.","The skill relies on many external APIs that may have rate limits or require API keys; the code does not appear to handle authentication, but public endpoints are used.","Financial research output is not financial advice; require human review before any live investment decision.","Quality score needs review"]},"quality_signals":{"model":"v2","star_score":20.36,"usage_score":0,"review_score":5.55,"metadata_score":3,"freshness_score":12},"platforms":["Claude Code"],"use_cases":[{"slug":"research-agents","title":"Research agents","url":"https://www.openagentskill.com/use-cases/research-agents"},{"slug":"finance-quant","title":"Finance and quant","url":"https://www.openagentskill.com/use-cases/finance-quant"},{"slug":"browser-automation","title":"Browser automation","url":"https://www.openagentskill.com/use-cases/browser-automation"},{"slug":"github-automation","title":"GitHub automation","url":"https://www.openagentskill.com/use-cases/github-automation"}],"stacks":[{"slug":"research-report-agent","title":"Research report agent","url":"https://www.openagentskill.com/collections/research-report-agent"},{"slug":"browser-qa-agent","title":"Browser QA agent","url":"https://www.openagentskill.com/collections/browser-qa-agent"},{"slug":"frontend-product-ui","title":"Frontend and UI","url":"https://www.openagentskill.com/collections/frontend-product-ui"}],"install":"npx skills add komako-workshop/digital-oracle --skill digital-oracle","install_targets":[{"id":"openagentskill-cli","label":"CLI","title":"OpenAgentSkill CLI","kind":"command","value":"npx --yes https://github.com/Leon-Drq/openagentskill/releases/download/cli-v0.3.0/openagentskill-0.3.0.tgz add komako-workshop-digital-oracle","description":"Resolve policy, run the source installer safely, and report a verified install receipt.","copyLabel":"Copy command"},{"id":"codex","label":"Codex","title":"Codex install prompt","kind":"agent-prompt","value":"Install the \"digital-oracle\" agent skill from https://github.com/komako-workshop/digital-oracle/blob/main/SKILL.md. Read its SKILL.md or equivalent instructions first, install only the files needed for this workspace, and summarize any required setup before using it. Skill purpose: Answer prediction questions using market trading data, not opinions. Use when the user asks probability questions about geopolitics, economics, markets, industries, or any topic where real money is being traded on the outcome. Examples: 'What's the probability of WW3?', 'Will there be a recession?', 'Is AI in a bubble?', 'When will the Russia-Ukraine war end?', 'Is it a good time to buy gold?', 'Will SPY drop 5% this month?', 'Is NVDA options premium overpriced?'. The skill reads prices from prediction markets, commodities, equities, options chains, derivatives, yield curves, and currencies, then cross-validates multiple signals to produce a structured probability report. After the install attempt, report the result to https://www.openagentskill.com/api/agent/outcome with POST JSON {\"event_id\":\"install_\",\"skill_slug\":\"komako-workshop-digital-oracle\",\"task\":\"Install digital-oracle\",\"agent\":\"codex\",\"outcome\":\"success\",\"install_used\":true}. Replace event_id with a unique value and outcome with success or failed. Report success only after the skill is installed and a minimal verification passes.","description":"Give Codex a repo-aware install prompt when the skill is not available through a local CLI.","copyLabel":"Copy prompt"},{"id":"claude-code","label":"Claude Code","title":"Claude Code skill prompt","kind":"agent-prompt","value":"Add \"digital-oracle\" as a Claude Code skill from https://github.com/komako-workshop/digital-oracle/blob/main/SKILL.md. Inspect the skill instructions, place the reusable skill files in the appropriate local skills location for this project, and report the activation steps. Skill purpose: Answer prediction questions using market trading data, not opinions. Use when the user asks probability questions about geopolitics, economics, markets, industries, or any topic where real money is being traded on the outcome. Examples: 'What's the probability of WW3?', 'Will there be a recession?', 'Is AI in a bubble?', 'When will the Russia-Ukraine war end?', 'Is it a good time to buy gold?', 'Will SPY drop 5% this month?', 'Is NVDA options premium overpriced?'. The skill reads prices from prediction markets, commodities, equities, options chains, derivatives, yield curves, and currencies, then cross-validates multiple signals to produce a structured probability report. After the install attempt, report the result to https://www.openagentskill.com/api/agent/outcome with POST JSON {\"event_id\":\"install_\",\"skill_slug\":\"komako-workshop-digital-oracle\",\"task\":\"Install digital-oracle\",\"agent\":\"claude-code\",\"outcome\":\"success\",\"install_used\":true}. Replace event_id with a unique value and outcome with success or failed. Report success only after the skill is installed and a minimal verification passes.","description":"Use this prompt to ask Claude Code to add the skill and explain the local activation steps.","copyLabel":"Copy prompt"},{"id":"cursor","label":"Cursor","title":"Cursor rule prompt","kind":"agent-prompt","value":"Turn \"digital-oracle\" from https://github.com/komako-workshop/digital-oracle/blob/main/SKILL.md into a reusable Cursor project rule or agent instruction. Preserve the core workflow, adapt paths to this repo, and keep the rule scoped to tasks where it is relevant. Skill purpose: Answer prediction questions using market trading data, not opinions. Use when the user asks probability questions about geopolitics, economics, markets, industries, or any topic where real money is being traded on the outcome. Examples: 'What's the probability of WW3?', 'Will there be a recession?', 'Is AI in a bubble?', 'When will the Russia-Ukraine war end?', 'Is it a good time to buy gold?', 'Will SPY drop 5% this month?', 'Is NVDA options premium overpriced?'. The skill reads prices from prediction markets, commodities, equities, options chains, derivatives, yield curves, and currencies, then cross-validates multiple signals to produce a structured probability report. After the install attempt, report the result to https://www.openagentskill.com/api/agent/outcome with POST JSON {\"event_id\":\"install_\",\"skill_slug\":\"komako-workshop-digital-oracle\",\"task\":\"Install digital-oracle\",\"agent\":\"cursor\",\"outcome\":\"success\",\"install_used\":true}. Replace event_id with a unique value and outcome with success or failed. Report success only after the skill is installed and a minimal verification passes.","description":"Use this when installing as Cursor project rules or reusable agent instructions.","copyLabel":"Copy prompt"}],"repository":"https://github.com/komako-workshop/digital-oracle/blob/main/SKILL.md","github_repo":"komako-workshop/digital-oracle","version":"1.0.3","license":"MIT","urls":{"web":"https://www.openagentskill.com/skills/komako-workshop-digital-oracle","repository":"https://github.com/komako-workshop/digital-oracle/blob/main/SKILL.md","api":"/api/agent/skills/komako-workshop-digital-oracle","install_api":"/api/skills/komako-workshop-digital-oracle/install"},"meta":{"created_at":"2026-09-05T04:01:18.458957+00:00","updated_at":"2026-09-05T04:01:18.583882+00:00","agent_friendly":true}}